Pre-tourney Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#163
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#189
Pace66.8#236
Improvement+0.4#156

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#186
First Shot-2.4#249
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#58
Layup/Dunks+3.8#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#344
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+1.8#88

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#108
Layups/Dunks-0.2#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#229
Freethrows-0.5#227
Improvement-1.4#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round2.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 7
Quad 413 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 102   @ St. Bonaventure L 69-73 23%     0 - 1 +3.7 +3.8 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2023 346   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-61 85%     1 - 1 +8.2 +3.4 +4.0
  Nov 18, 2023 260   NC Central W 73-66 77%     2 - 1 -0.7 +2.3 -2.3
  Nov 24, 2023 295   Delaware St. W 84-82 2OT 82%     3 - 1 -7.8 -5.3 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2023 226   Lamar W 83-72 72%     4 - 1 +5.1 +5.0 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2023 315   Bethune-Cookman W 69-48 86%     5 - 1 +9.5 -8.5 +17.8
  Dec 03, 2023 333   @ Morgan St. W 88-54 80%     6 - 1 +25.1 +13.1 +12.9
  Dec 09, 2023 295   @ Delaware St. W 62-61 68%     7 - 1 -3.7 -13.8 +10.0
  Dec 13, 2023 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-67 52%     8 - 1 +12.6 +8.1 +5.1
  Dec 17, 2023 359   VMI W 68-49 95%     9 - 1 -0.4 -13.6 +12.5
  Dec 20, 2023 260   @ NC Central L 70-79 60%     9 - 2 -11.5 -6.6 -4.8
  Dec 30, 2023 44   @ Dayton L 69-78 11%     9 - 3 +4.5 +9.1 -5.8
  Jan 03, 2024 184   @ Winthrop L 60-68 OT 44%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -6.4 -18.3 +12.5
  Jan 06, 2024 316   Charleston Southern W 77-56 86%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +9.4 +5.4 +5.1
  Jan 11, 2024 238   Radford L 58-69 73%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -17.4 -11.9 -7.1
  Jan 13, 2024 166   @ UNC Asheville L 61-65 41%     10 - 6 1 - 3 -1.5 -8.2 +6.4
  Jan 17, 2024 290   @ South Carolina Upstate L 71-73 66%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -6.2 +5.4 -11.9
  Jan 20, 2024 273   Presbyterian W 80-70 79%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +1.6 +7.6 -5.3
  Jan 24, 2024 212   Gardner-Webb L 64-76 70%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -17.3 -7.1 -10.8
  Feb 01, 2024 124   @ High Point L 76-93 30%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -11.6 +0.6 -12.1
  Feb 03, 2024 316   @ Charleston Southern L 77-83 73%     11 - 10 2 - 7 -12.4 +0.6 -12.7
  Feb 07, 2024 290   South Carolina Upstate L 64-69 81%     11 - 11 2 - 8 -14.4 -13.6 -0.7
  Feb 10, 2024 184   Winthrop W 84-74 64%     12 - 11 3 - 8 +6.4 +8.7 -2.3
  Feb 17, 2024 273   @ Presbyterian W 81-73 63%     13 - 11 4 - 8 +4.8 +5.6 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2024 166   UNC Asheville W 80-75 61%     14 - 11 5 - 8 +2.3 +8.2 -5.8
  Feb 24, 2024 238   @ Radford L 82-88 55%     14 - 12 5 - 9 -7.2 +5.7 -12.9
  Feb 29, 2024 212   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-72 50%     14 - 13 5 - 10 -3.1 +4.5 -7.9
  Mar 02, 2024 124   High Point W 74-72 50%     15 - 13 6 - 10 +2.2 -4.1 +6.3
  Mar 08, 2024 184   Winthrop W 69-56 54%     16 - 13 +12.0 +4.8 +9.1
  Mar 09, 2024 124   @ High Point W 80-79 OT 30%     17 - 13 +6.4 +2.3 +4.0
  Mar 10, 2024 166   UNC Asheville W 85-59 51%     18 - 13 +25.9 +16.1 +11.3
  Mar 22, 2024 2   Houston L 55-76 4%    
Projected Record 18 - 14 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.0 21.6 78.3
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 21.6 78.3