Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#12
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#5
Pace71.5#91
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#19
First Shot+9.2#9
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#207
Layup/Dunks+8.9#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#41
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+1.2#118

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#17
First Shot+3.4#68
After Offensive Rebounds+4.1#1
Layups/Dunks+4.8#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#321
Freethrows+2.2#45
Improvement-2.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 7.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 55.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen62.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight32.2% n/a n/a
Final Four13.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.1% n/a n/a
National Champion2.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 29 - 8
Quad 26 - 115 - 9
Quad 34 - 019 - 9
Quad 46 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 306   Northern Illinois W 92-70 99%     1 - 0 +11.2 +8.6 +1.7
  Nov 10, 2023 221   Rider W 95-65 97%     2 - 0 +24.4 +14.1 +8.5
  Nov 14, 2023 10   @ Illinois W 71-64 38%     3 - 0 +26.5 +2.8 +23.8
  Nov 20, 2023 93   UCLA W 71-69 83%     4 - 0 +8.2 +7.3 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2023 20   Kansas W 73-59 60%     5 - 0 +27.7 +9.1 +18.6
  Nov 22, 2023 4   Purdue L 75-78 35%     5 - 1 +17.2 +11.9 +5.2
  Nov 28, 2023 288   Southern W 93-56 98%     6 - 1 +27.8 +16.6 +10.1
  Dec 02, 2023 19   @ Wisconsin L 64-75 49%     6 - 2 +5.6 +1.1 +3.8
  Dec 06, 2023 23   Texas W 86-65 71%     7 - 2 +31.6 +12.7 +18.0
  Dec 09, 2023 110   Notre Dame W 78-59 91%     8 - 2 +20.3 +12.1 +8.8
  Dec 14, 2023 157   St. Thomas W 84-79 95%     9 - 2 +2.7 +8.8 -6.1
  Dec 19, 2023 50   @ Providence L 57-72 63%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -2.1 -8.6 +6.9
  Dec 22, 2023 176   Georgetown W 81-51 96%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +26.6 -1.5 +26.7
  Dec 30, 2023 11   Creighton W 72-67 60%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +18.8 +3.3 +15.5
  Jan 06, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall L 75-78 66%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +9.0 +8.3 +0.7
  Jan 10, 2024 63   Butler L 62-69 82%     11 - 5 2 - 3 -0.6 -10.7 +10.4
  Jan 15, 2024 35   Villanova W 87-74 75%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +22.2 +27.4 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2024 25   @ St. John's W 73-72 52%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +16.7 +6.2 +10.5
  Jan 24, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 86-73 96%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +8.4 +12.2 -3.6
  Jan 27, 2024 58   Seton Hall W 75-57 81%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +24.8 +14.2 +12.6
  Jan 30, 2024 35   @ Villanova W 85-80 57%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +19.4 +21.7 -2.3
  Feb 03, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 91-57 91%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +35.8 +14.6 +21.0
  Feb 10, 2024 25   St. John's W 86-75 71%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +21.5 +20.0 +2.0
  Feb 13, 2024 63   @ Butler W 78-72 68%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +17.6 +8.6 +8.8
  Feb 17, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 53-81 20%     19 - 6 10 - 4 -2.7 -4.9 -0.6
  Feb 21, 2024 294   DePaul W 105-71 98%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +24.2 +19.5 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2024 57   Xavier W 88-64 81%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +30.9 +10.0 +18.5
  Feb 28, 2024 50   Providence W 91-69 79%     22 - 6 13 - 4 +29.7 +27.4 +3.0
  Mar 02, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 75-89 40%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +5.0 +12.1 -7.4
  Mar 06, 2024 1   Connecticut L 67-74 36%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +13.1 +5.7 +6.9
  Mar 09, 2024 57   @ Xavier W 86-80 66%     23 - 8 14 - 6 +18.1 +19.9 -1.7
  Mar 14, 2024 35   Villanova W 71-65 OT 67%     24 - 8 +17.8 +8.1 +9.9
  Mar 15, 2024 50   Providence W 79-68 72%     25 - 8 +21.3 +18.2 +3.8
  Mar 16, 2024 1   Connecticut L 57-73 27%     25 - 9 +6.7 -3.7 +9.3
  Mar 22, 2024 127   Western Kentucky W 88-74 89%    
Projected Record 26 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.4 7.5 48.1 38.7 5.7 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.4 7.5 48.1 38.7 5.7 0.0 100.0%