Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
103 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   19 - 10 12 - 4 19 - 10 12 - 4 +5.1      +1.5 139 +3.6 78 64.7 287 +3.7 116 +4.8 2
127 Western Kentucky 100.0%   14   19 - 11 8 - 8 19 - 12 8 - 8 +2.6      +0.1 177 +2.5 104 85.5 1 +1.3 140 -1.6 3
138 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 3 19 - 12 13 - 3 +1.8      -0.2 185 +2.0 118 68.4 172 +2.7 124 +7.5 1
148 Liberty 0.0%   15 - 14 7 - 9 15 - 14 7 - 9 +1.2      +1.5 138 -0.3 185 62.6 331 +0.3 159 -2.9 7
171 UTEP 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 9 15 - 16 7 - 9 -0.6      -5.1 302 +4.5 54 72.8 66 -1.1 185 -2.7 6
207 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 11 11 - 18 6 - 11 -2.4      -2.7 250 +0.3 161 63.0 326 -4.9 260 -5.0 9
265 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 9 12 - 19 7 - 9 -5.4      -5.2 306 -0.2 180 64.2 302 -2.9 223 -2.0 5
278 Florida International 0.0%   10 - 22 6 - 11 10 - 22 6 - 11 -5.9      -2.8 253 -3.0 262 74.3 48 -6.5 283 -4.3 8
280 New Mexico St. 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 9 9 - 19 7 - 9 -6.0      -4.2 288 -1.7 228 65.6 264 -3.5 234 -2.0 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Louisiana Tech 2.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 1.0 100.0
Liberty 4.0 100.0
UTEP 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 8.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Florida International 8.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 4.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Louisiana Tech 12 - 4 100.0
Western Kentucky 8 - 8 100.0
Sam Houston St. 13 - 3 100.0
Liberty 7 - 9 100.0
UTEP 7 - 9 100.0
Jacksonville St. 6 - 10 100.0
Middle Tennessee 7 - 9 100.0
Florida International 6 - 10 100.0
New Mexico St. 7 - 9 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky
Sam Houston St. 100.0% 100.0
Liberty
UTEP
Jacksonville St.
Middle Tennessee
Florida International
New Mexico St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 2.4 48.0 49.5 0.1
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0