Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
128 Morehead St. 100.0%   14   22 - 8 14 - 4 22 - 9 14 - 4 +2.6      +1.6 134 +1.0 142 62.5 332 +2.7 123 -0.8 2
193 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   21 - 12 14 - 4 21 - 12 14 - 4 -1.7      +0.2 173 -1.9 232 71.0 98 -3.2 226 -1.1 3
215 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   17 - 11 14 - 4 17 - 11 14 - 4 -2.9      +0.2 172 -3.1 263 79.5 12 -1.7 198 +0.3 1
279 Western Illinois 0.0%   17 - 12 13 - 5 17 - 12 13 - 5 -5.9      -5.8 314 -0.2 178 62.9 327 -3.4 231 -1.8 4
292 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 9 14 - 16 9 - 9 -7.1      -3.8 273 -3.3 271 66.9 228 -6.4 279 -8.2 6
293 Tennessee St. 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -7.1      -5.0 299 -2.1 239 70.0 129 -6.0 274 -6.1 5
321 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   10 - 18 8 - 10 10 - 18 8 - 10 -9.3      -6.7 326 -2.6 248 66.7 239 -10.0 321 -8.4 7
331 Southern Indiana 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 13 5 - 24 5 - 13 -11.4      -6.8 328 -4.6 318 71.6 89 -15.6 354 -14.0 9
334 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 13 7 - 21 5 - 13 -11.5      -6.9 329 -4.6 317 65.1 274 -11.7 333 -13.2 8
352 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   5 - 22 4 - 14 5 - 22 4 - 14 -14.4      -10.0 356 -4.4 308 72.3 75 -14.9 350 -15.0 10
356 Lindenwood 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 15 6 - 22 3 - 15 -15.6      -9.7 352 -5.9 343 67.8 196 -14.3 348 -17.4 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Morehead St. 1.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 1.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 1.0 100.0
Western Illinois 4.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 6.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Southern Indiana 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 10.0 100.0
Lindenwood 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Morehead St. 14 - 4 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 14 - 4 100.0
Tennessee Martin 14 - 4 100.0
Western Illinois 13 - 5 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 9 - 9 100.0
Tennessee St. 10 - 8 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 10 100.0
Southern Indiana 5 - 13 100.0
Tennessee Tech 5 - 13 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 4 - 14 100.0
Lindenwood 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0
Tennessee Martin 100.0% 100.0
Western Illinois
SIU Edwardsville
Tennessee St.
Eastern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Tennessee Tech
Southeast Missouri St.
Lindenwood


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 7.9 71.7 20.4
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Morehead St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.8% 0.1 92.2 7.8
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0