Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
64 James Madison 100.0%   12   30 - 3 16 - 3 30 - 4 16 - 3 +8.8      +5.3 56 +3.5 81 72.9 65 +12.1 30 +7.6 2
86 Appalachian St. 0.0%   25 - 6 16 - 2 25 - 6 16 - 2 +6.7      +1.3 143 +5.3 35 66.9 230 +7.7 77 +11.0 1
131 Troy 0.0%   17 - 12 13 - 5 17 - 12 13 - 5 +2.5      +0.7 157 +1.7 125 72.6 70 +0.7 152 +3.3 3
133 Arkansas St. 0.0%   18 - 16 11 - 7 18 - 16 11 - 7 +2.3      +5.2 57 -2.9 258 69.3 144 +0.7 151 +1.1 4
153 Louisiana 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 8 17 - 14 10 - 8 +0.7      -0.5 196 +1.2 138 70.3 120 +0.5 157 -0.1 5
187 Texas St. 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 11 15 - 18 7 - 11 -1.1      -3.5 265 +2.4 108 66.2 249 -0.9 178 -4.1 10
216 Georgia St. 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 10 12 - 17 8 - 10 -2.9      -0.4 192 -2.5 246 69.1 155 -3.4 233 -2.7 8
220 South Alabama 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -3.0      -1.3 217 -1.7 225 69.6 136 -2.7 217 -2.4 7
230 Southern Miss 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 9 14 - 16 9 - 9 -3.5      -3.3 262 -0.2 181 69.1 153 -1.8 200 -1.6 6
236 Marshall 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -3.7      -3.0 258 -0.7 196 74.8 39 -4.1 240 -4.8 11
259 Georgia Southern 0.0%   9 - 24 8 - 10 9 - 24 8 - 10 -5.1      -0.3 190 -4.7 324 71.0 97 -7.8 305 -3.0 9
289 Old Dominion 0.0%   6 - 25 3 - 16 6 - 25 3 - 16 -6.7      -5.1 300 -1.6 221 73.4 55 -9.8 318 -11.7 14
291 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 12 9 - 19 6 - 12 -7.0      -3.9 281 -3.1 266 67.5 212 -6.1 275 -5.4 12
307 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 13 7 - 22 5 - 13 -8.3      -4.3 289 -4.0 294 72.1 79 -9.4 315 -7.0 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
James Madison 1.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 1.0 100.0
Troy 3.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 4.0 100.0
Louisiana 5.0 100.0
Texas St. 10.0 100.0
Georgia St. 7.0 100.0
South Alabama 7.0 100.0
Southern Miss 6.0 100.0
Marshall 10.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 7.0 100.0
Old Dominion 14.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 12.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
James Madison 16 - 2 100.0
Appalachian St. 16 - 2 100.0
Troy 13 - 5 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 7 100.0
Louisiana 10 - 8 100.0
Texas St. 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia St. 8 - 10 100.0
South Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Southern Miss 9 - 9 100.0
Marshall 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 100.0
Old Dominion 3 - 15 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 6 - 12 100.0
Coastal Carolina 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
James Madison 100.0% 100.0
Appalachian St. 100.0% 100.0
Troy
Arkansas St.
Louisiana
Texas St.
Georgia St.
South Alabama
Southern Miss
Marshall
Georgia Southern
Old Dominion
Louisiana Monroe
Coastal Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
James Madison 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 28.9 69.6 1.4
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
James Madison 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 33.2% 9.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 33.2% 0.3 66.8 33.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2
Elite Eight 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0