Pre-tourney Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#237
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#235
Pace67.9#190
Improvement-0.9#226

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#331
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#358
Layup/Dunks+1.1#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#273
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement-1.8#273

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#86
First Shot+7.2#13
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#360
Layups/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#28
Freethrows-0.1#196
Improvement+0.8#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 32 - 12 - 6
Quad 417 - 619 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 109   @ Vermont L 55-67 17%     0 - 1 -5.4 -0.3 -7.8
  Nov 12, 2023 243   @ Maine W 71-65 41%     1 - 1 +4.5 +5.2 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2023 38   @ Ohio St. L 52-76 6%     1 - 2 -10.0 -12.7 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 96-73 82%     2 - 2 +9.6 +6.1 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2023 90   @ Samford L 71-79 12%     2 - 3 +1.0 +1.3 -0.3
  Nov 25, 2023 323   Alabama St. L 60-66 OT 73%     2 - 4 -16.0 -18.1 +2.5
  Nov 29, 2023 176   @ Georgetown L 67-69 30%     2 - 5 -0.2 -8.4 +8.2
  Dec 02, 2023 155   Umass Lowell W 74-68 43%     3 - 5 +3.9 -1.5 +5.3
  Dec 05, 2023 22   @ Florida L 57-77 4%     3 - 6 -4.0 -11.5 +7.7
  Dec 19, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 49-65 6%     3 - 7 -1.6 -13.8 +11.7
  Dec 22, 2023 269   Bucknell W 68-52 67%     4 - 7 +7.8 +1.9 +8.1
  Dec 30, 2023 296   @ Boston University L 63-74 54%     4 - 8 -15.7 -8.7 -7.3
  Jan 04, 2024 326   Fairleigh Dickinson W 60-56 82%     5 - 8 1 - 0 -9.6 -18.2 +8.7
  Jan 06, 2024 298   Sacred Heart W 82-58 73%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +13.9 +3.2 +10.6
  Jan 13, 2024 308   @ Le Moyne W 66-62 57%     7 - 8 3 - 0 -1.7 -4.3 +2.9
  Jan 15, 2024 277   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-75 48%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -8.3 -6.8 -1.2
  Jan 19, 2024 300   Wagner L 65-71 73%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -16.3 -2.8 -14.1
  Jan 21, 2024 358   Stonehill W 63-47 91%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -3.0 -15.8 +13.1
  Jan 25, 2024 300   @ Wagner W 60-44 55%     9 - 10 5 - 2 +10.9 +0.4 +13.7
  Jan 27, 2024 355   @ St. Francis (PA) W 74-55 80%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +6.2 -4.4 +10.8
  Feb 03, 2024 277   Central Connecticut St. W 71-68 67%     11 - 10 7 - 2 -5.4 -2.1 -3.2
  Feb 08, 2024 350   @ LIU Brooklyn W 82-79 OT 77%     12 - 10 8 - 2 -8.4 -10.0 +1.1
  Feb 10, 2024 308   Le Moyne W 66-50 75%     13 - 10 9 - 2 +5.1 -9.8 +15.3
  Feb 15, 2024 358   @ Stonehill W 66-63 83%     14 - 10 10 - 2 -10.8 -9.1 -1.6
  Feb 17, 2024 350   LIU Brooklyn W 83-68 88%     15 - 10 11 - 2 -1.5 -0.9 -1.6
  Feb 22, 2024 355   St. Francis (PA) W 71-60 90%     16 - 10 12 - 2 -7.0 -5.0 -1.2
  Feb 29, 2024 326   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-55 67%     17 - 10 13 - 2 +10.6 -2.2 +12.8
  Mar 02, 2024 298   @ Sacred Heart L 85-89 55%     17 - 11 13 - 3 -8.9 +7.2 -16.1
  Mar 06, 2024 350   LIU Brooklyn W 72-66 88%     18 - 11 -10.5 -10.5 -0.4
  Mar 09, 2024 308   Le Moyne W 61-51 75%     19 - 11 -0.9 -8.6 +9.0
  Mar 12, 2024 300   Wagner L 47-54 73%     19 - 12 -17.3 -18.2 -0.5
Projected Record 19 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%