Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#244
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#273
Pace58.4#358
Improvement-2.2#279

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#167
First Shot+1.5#141
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#254
Layup/Dunks-0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#72
Freethrows-0.5#213
Improvement+4.7#13

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#313
First Shot-4.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks-4.8#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
Freethrows-0.8#245
Improvement-6.9#361
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 8
Quad 21 - 22 - 10
Quad 30 - 72 - 17
Quad 47 - 59 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 253   Portland St. L 55-62 63%     0 - 1 -14.4 -11.8 -3.5
  Nov 10, 2023 350   @ LIU Brooklyn W 82-67 76%     1 - 1 +3.6 +5.7 -2.1
  Nov 12, 2023 181   @ Delaware L 57-65 29%     1 - 2 -6.4 -1.2 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2023 356   Lindenwood W 76-58 90%     2 - 2 -0.2 -2.6 +2.7
  Nov 17, 2023 313   William & Mary W 80-71 OT 76%     3 - 2 -2.5 +3.8 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha W 58-56 64%     4 - 2 -5.7 -14.0 +8.5
  Nov 22, 2023 359   VMI W 64-54 92%     5 - 2 -9.4 -8.9 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2023 322   @ South Dakota W 58-57 61%     6 - 2 -5.9 -18.6 +12.8
  Dec 03, 2023 286   @ Portland W 80-58 49%     7 - 2 +18.1 +2.8 +15.1
  Dec 09, 2023 152   Eastern Washington L 68-73 41%     7 - 3 -6.7 -7.8 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2023 112   Texas Arlington L 73-76 23%     7 - 4 +0.6 -2.1 +2.9
  Dec 21, 2023 206   Northern Colorado L 79-83 53%     7 - 5 -9.0 +5.0 -14.2
  Jan 02, 2024 52   Utah St. L 60-88 14%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -20.5 -6.0 -16.7
  Jan 09, 2024 41   @ Nevada L 54-67 6%     7 - 7 0 - 2 +0.9 -2.3 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2024 231   San Jose St. L 67-70 58%     7 - 8 0 - 3 -9.1 +3.9 -13.6
  Jan 16, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. L 69-78 OT 6%     7 - 9 0 - 4 +4.2 +4.1 -0.1
  Jan 20, 2024 24   New Mexico L 66-85 9%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -8.5 -2.9 -5.2
  Jan 23, 2024 73   @ UNLV W 90-58 10%     8 - 10 1 - 5 +42.1 +29.5 +15.2
  Jan 27, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. L 70-84 35%     8 - 11 1 - 6 -14.1 +6.5 -22.4
  Jan 30, 2024 151   Wyoming L 72-83 40%     8 - 12 1 - 7 -12.5 +8.0 -22.2
  Feb 03, 2024 45   @ Boise St. L 56-94 6%     8 - 13 1 - 8 -24.6 +0.8 -32.6
  Feb 06, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 64-77 10%     8 - 14 1 - 9 -2.7 +8.1 -12.8
  Feb 10, 2024 213   Fresno St. L 66-68 55%     8 - 15 1 - 10 -7.3 -2.8 -4.7
  Feb 13, 2024 231   @ San Jose St. L 66-73 38%     8 - 16 1 - 11 -7.9 +2.4 -11.5
  Feb 21, 2024 73   UNLV L 43-72 20%     8 - 17 1 - 12 -24.1 -16.7 -14.9
  Feb 24, 2024 24   @ New Mexico W 78-77 4%     9 - 17 2 - 12 +16.7 +18.2 -1.4
  Feb 27, 2024 45   Boise St. L 48-79 13%     9 - 18 2 - 13 -22.8 -12.4 -15.6
  Mar 01, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 60-72 7%     9 - 19 2 - 14 +0.7 -3.5 +3.3
  Mar 05, 2024 151   @ Wyoming L 63-74 23%     9 - 20 2 - 15 -7.3 +4.0 -13.7
  Mar 09, 2024 48   Colorado St. L 73-82 13%     9 - 21 2 - 16 -1.0 +14.4 -16.8
  Mar 13, 2024 24   New Mexico L 56-82 6%     9 - 22 -12.9 -7.6 -6.6
Projected Record 9 - 22 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%