Pre-tourney Rankings
Auburn
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+21.0#3
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#10
Pace72.9#63
Improvement+3.0#66

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#9
First Shot+7.3#24
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#19
Layup/Dunks+5.0#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#209
Freethrows+3.1#25
Improvement+1.0#125

Defense
Total Defense+10.5#4
First Shot+10.1#4
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks+4.7#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#16
Freethrows+0.8#128
Improvement+1.9#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 14.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 51.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen79.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight54.4% n/a n/a
Final Four33.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game20.6% n/a n/a
National Champion12.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 7
Quad 210 - 013 - 7
Quad 39 - 022 - 7
Quad 45 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 14   Baylor L 82-88 71%     0 - 1 +9.3 +6.3 +3.5
  Nov 10, 2023 310   SE Louisiana W 86-71 99%     1 - 1 +4.0 +4.0 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2023 110   Notre Dame W 83-59 93%     2 - 1 +27.9 +15.9 +12.0
  Nov 17, 2023 102   St. Bonaventure W 77-60 92%     3 - 1 +22.1 +8.4 +14.3
  Nov 21, 2023 328   Alabama A&M W 84-54 99.6%    4 - 1 +16.2 +5.0 +10.1
  Nov 29, 2023 61   Virginia Tech W 74-57 91%     5 - 1 +23.4 +1.9 +21.5
  Dec 03, 2023 86   @ Appalachian St. L 64-69 86%     5 - 2 +4.3 +3.9 -0.1
  Dec 09, 2023 82   Indiana W 104-76 90%     6 - 2 +34.8 +29.3 +3.9
  Dec 13, 2023 166   UNC Asheville W 87-62 96%     7 - 2 +24.9 +14.1 +11.0
  Dec 17, 2023 76   USC W 91-75 93%     8 - 2 +20.7 +15.7 +4.0
  Dec 22, 2023 323   Alabama St. W 82-62 99%     9 - 2 +7.4 +1.3 +4.6
  Dec 30, 2023 147   Chattanooga W 101-66 97%     10 - 2 +33.6 +24.1 +9.1
  Jan 02, 2024 223   Penn W 88-68 98%     11 - 2 +14.3 +12.0 +3.1
  Jan 06, 2024 104   @ Arkansas W 83-51 89%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +39.6 +11.9 +27.2
  Jan 09, 2024 42   Texas A&M W 66-55 87%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +19.7 -2.9 +22.7
  Jan 13, 2024 87   LSU W 93-78 93%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +19.0 +15.5 +2.4
  Jan 17, 2024 167   @ Vanderbilt W 80-65 95%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +17.4 +14.6 +4.0
  Jan 20, 2024 83   Mississippi W 82-59 93%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +27.2 +13.6 +14.8
  Jan 24, 2024 13   @ Alabama L 75-79 59%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +14.7 +1.3 +13.6
  Jan 27, 2024 30   @ Mississippi St. L 58-64 70%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +9.4 -3.9 +13.0
  Jan 31, 2024 167   Vanderbilt W 81-54 98%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +24.2 +4.2 +19.2
  Feb 03, 2024 83   @ Mississippi W 91-77 86%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +23.4 +22.6 +1.1
  Feb 07, 2024 13   Alabama W 99-81 76%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +31.5 +18.3 +11.5
  Feb 10, 2024 22   @ Florida L 65-81 69%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +0.0 -3.0 +3.1
  Feb 14, 2024 51   South Carolina W 101-61 89%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +47.6 +33.4 +14.9
  Feb 17, 2024 16   Kentucky L 59-70 80%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +1.2 -9.8 +10.5
  Feb 24, 2024 84   @ Georgia W 97-76 86%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +30.3 +33.0 -2.0
  Feb 28, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 84-92 50%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +13.1 +15.1 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2024 30   Mississippi St. W 78-63 84%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +25.2 +16.6 +9.6
  Mar 05, 2024 135   @ Missouri W 101-74 93%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +31.7 +23.1 +6.8
  Mar 09, 2024 84   Georgia W 92-78 93%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +18.1 +14.7 +2.3
  Mar 15, 2024 51   South Carolina W 86-55 84%     25 - 7 +41.2 +19.4 +22.4
  Mar 16, 2024 30   Mississippi St. W 73-66 78%     26 - 7 +19.8 +11.0 +9.2
  Mar 17, 2024 22   Florida W 86-67 77%     27 - 7 +32.4 +9.5 +21.2
  Mar 22, 2024 95   Yale W 79-64 91%    
Projected Record 28 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.5 14.2 37.2 30.8 16.8 1.0 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.5 14.2 37.2 30.8 16.8 1.0 0.0