Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#222
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#203
Pace62.2#336
Improvement+2.5#78

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#107
First Shot+4.1#70
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#275
Layup/Dunks-5.8#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows-2.1#313
Improvement+9.9#1

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#339
First Shot-3.8#304
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#318
Layups/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
Freethrows-3.2#342
Improvement-7.4#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 31 - 72 - 11
Quad 414 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 101   @ George Mason L 45-67 16%     0 - 1 -14.3 -18.2 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2023 171   @ UTEP L 63-71 31%     0 - 2 -6.0 -5.0 -0.9
  Nov 20, 2023 134   Tarleton St. L 59-66 30%     0 - 3 -4.7 -5.7 +0.0
  Nov 22, 2023 302   Sacramento St. W 74-71 68%     1 - 3 -4.9 -1.9 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2023 86   @ Appalachian St. L 58-78 13%     1 - 4 -10.7 -4.6 -7.3
  Nov 29, 2023 128   Morehead St. L 50-61 38%     1 - 5 -11.0 -15.4 +2.6
  Dec 02, 2023 293   @ Tennessee St. L 65-69 56%     1 - 6 -8.5 -6.8 -1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 161   Murray St. W 53-49 47%     2 - 6 +1.6 -9.7 +12.2
  Dec 12, 2023 125   @ Southern Illinois W 70-68 21%     3 - 6 +7.3 +9.0 -1.4
  Dec 16, 2023 127   @ Western Kentucky L 64-65 22%     3 - 7 +4.2 -0.5 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2023 143   Ohio W 71-67 43%     4 - 7 +2.8 +6.7 -3.3
  Dec 30, 2023 70   @ Memphis L 70-81 11%     4 - 8 -0.8 -2.0 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine W 84-68 61%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +10.0 +12.8 -1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-69 38%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -9.9 -10.4 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 77-91 30%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -11.6 +0.2 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2024 247   North Alabama W 83-80 OT 64%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -3.8 -3.9 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 94-71 86%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +8.3 +17.2 -8.2
  Jan 25, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 82-83 38%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -1.0 +10.2 -11.2
  Jan 27, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-73 41%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -6.8 +0.5 -7.8
  Jan 31, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville L 43-63 50%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -23.0 -17.9 -11.1
  Feb 03, 2024 240   North Florida W 95-91 2OT 63%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -2.6 +14.6 -17.3
  Feb 08, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. W 85-69 68%     9 - 13 5 - 5 +8.0 +9.2 -0.6
  Feb 10, 2024 258   Queens W 79-76 67%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -4.6 +13.4 -17.5
  Feb 15, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 77-67 73%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +0.5 +1.1 -0.4
  Feb 17, 2024 247   @ North Alabama W 87-79 44%     12 - 13 8 - 5 +6.4 +19.5 -12.4
  Feb 24, 2024 168   Lipscomb L 85-90 49%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -7.8 +5.6 -13.3
  Feb 28, 2024 208   Eastern Kentucky W 83-79 58%     13 - 14 9 - 6 -1.1 +11.4 -12.2
  Mar 01, 2024 312   Bellarmine W 90-87 OT 78%     14 - 14 10 - 6 -8.2 +7.3 -15.6
  Mar 05, 2024 240   North Florida W 101-98 OT 63%     15 - 14 -3.6 +14.5 -18.3
  Mar 07, 2024 247   North Alabama W 77-71 64%     16 - 14 -0.8 +6.7 -6.9
  Mar 10, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 91-94 38%     16 - 15 -3.0 +11.1 -14.0
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%