Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.3#14
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#11
Pace65.1#277
Improvement-1.9#268

Offense
Total Offense+11.2#6
First Shot+10.2#5
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#113
Layup/Dunks-0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#18
Freethrows+2.3#50
Improvement-2.6#312

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#64
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#4
Layups/Dunks+3.4#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#74
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+0.8#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 21.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen57.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.4% n/a n/a
Final Four10.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.7% n/a n/a
National Champion1.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b7 - 110 - 9
Quad 24 - 114 - 10
Quad 33 - 017 - 10
Quad 45 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 3   Auburn W 88-82 29%     1 - 0 +27.0 +18.2 +8.3
  Nov 12, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb W 77-62 96%     2 - 0 +9.7 -1.6 +10.5
  Nov 14, 2023 217   UMKC W 99-61 96%     3 - 0 +32.5 +31.2 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2023 137   Oregon St. W 88-72 89%     4 - 0 +17.9 +13.5 +4.0
  Nov 24, 2023 22   Florida W 95-91 58%     5 - 0 +17.4 +21.0 -3.9
  Nov 28, 2023 248   Nicholls St. W 108-70 97%     6 - 0 +31.1 +27.2 +2.6
  Dec 02, 2023 325   Northwestern St. W 91-40 99%     7 - 0 +38.0 +16.1 +23.8
  Dec 05, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 78-60 79%     8 - 0 +24.8 +19.7 +7.6
  Dec 16, 2023 18   Michigan St. L 64-88 53%     8 - 1 -9.5 -0.4 -8.9
  Dec 20, 2023 9   Duke L 70-78 43%     8 - 2 +9.1 +7.7 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 107-48 99.8%    9 - 2 +35.5 +30.8 +7.5
  Jan 02, 2024 108   Cornell W 98-79 89%     10 - 2 +20.8 +20.0 +0.1
  Jan 06, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-70 OT 78%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +12.2 +5.6 +6.6
  Jan 09, 2024 17   BYU W 81-72 63%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +21.0 +13.8 +7.4
  Jan 13, 2024 34   Cincinnati W 62-59 72%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +12.2 +1.9 +10.6
  Jan 16, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. L 64-68 OT 64%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +7.6 -2.8 +10.6
  Jan 20, 2024 23   @ Texas L 73-75 48%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +13.8 +19.7 -6.3
  Jan 27, 2024 31   TCU L 102-105 3OT 69%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +7.1 +11.4 -3.6
  Jan 31, 2024 55   @ Central Florida W 77-69 62%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +20.2 +22.5 -1.3
  Feb 03, 2024 7   Iowa St. W 70-68 49%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +17.6 +14.3 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 79-73 68%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +16.4 +12.5 +4.1
  Feb 10, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 61-64 46%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +13.3 +0.7 +12.4
  Feb 13, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 79-62 73%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +25.9 +26.9 +2.5
  Feb 17, 2024 129   @ West Virginia W 94-81 83%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +18.1 +23.5 -5.3
  Feb 20, 2024 17   @ BYU L 71-78 43%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +10.1 +13.0 -3.8
  Feb 24, 2024 2   Houston L 76-82 OT 38%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +12.4 +12.3 +0.2
  Feb 26, 2024 31   @ TCU W 62-54 50%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +23.3 +1.3 +22.6
  Mar 02, 2024 20   Kansas W 82-74 66%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +19.1 +24.6 -4.8
  Mar 04, 2024 23   Texas W 93-85 68%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +18.6 +22.5 -4.0
  Mar 09, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech L 68-78 49%     21 - 9 11 - 7 +5.6 +2.6 +2.8
  Mar 14, 2024 34   Cincinnati W 68-56 63%     22 - 9 +23.8 +6.7 +17.9
  Mar 15, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 62-76 39%     22 - 10 +4.2 +5.0 -1.4
  Mar 22, 2024 146   Colgate W 78-64 90%    
Projected Record 23 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.0 1.2 20.0 57.4 21.0 0.5 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 1.2 20.0 57.4 21.0 0.5 100.0%