Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#114
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Pace76.0#29
Improvement+6.7#9

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#125
First Shot+4.2#66
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#315
Layup/Dunks+3.0#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#80
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+0.5#154

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#129
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#120
Freethrows+1.3#93
Improvement+6.3#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 22 - 12 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 13
Quad 411 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 216   Georgia St. W 89-87 80%     1 - 0 -3.5 +4.3 -7.9
  Nov 10, 2023 144   @ Furman L 76-99 48%     1 - 1 -19.0 -7.5 -8.3
  Nov 17, 2023 5   @ Arizona L 68-100 5%     1 - 2 -9.9 -2.5 -3.9
  Nov 24, 2023 200   Monmouth L 84-93 71%     1 - 3 -11.1 +5.7 -16.4
  Nov 25, 2023 223   @ Penn W 84-79 OT 65%     2 - 3 +4.5 +4.8 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2023 314   Lafayette W 79-69 87%     3 - 3 +1.1 +0.8 -0.3
  Nov 29, 2023 111   @ Northern Iowa W 90-70 39%     4 - 3 +26.3 +16.4 +9.1
  Dec 02, 2023 299   Valparaiso W 77-68 90%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -1.3 -2.9 +1.4
  Dec 06, 2023 168   Lipscomb W 72-71 73%     6 - 3 -1.8 -8.9 +7.1
  Dec 09, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee W 75-65 73%     7 - 3 +7.2 +8.7 -0.8
  Dec 16, 2023 90   @ Samford L 93-99 30%     7 - 4 +3.0 +13.4 -9.8
  Dec 20, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 74-70 64%     8 - 4 +3.7 -3.9 +7.6
  Jan 02, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois L 63-73 43%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -4.7 -9.9 +5.6
  Jan 07, 2024 53   Drake W 87-65 35%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +29.4 +19.3 +10.8
  Jan 10, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 67-60 75%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +3.4 -8.7 +11.9
  Jan 13, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 64-94 18%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -16.6 -7.0 -8.6
  Jan 17, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 72-83 59%     10 - 7 3 - 3 -9.9 -0.6 -9.3
  Jan 20, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 72-95 25%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -12.4 +8.0 -21.5
  Jan 23, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. L 67-77 57%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -8.4 +1.2 -10.3
  Jan 27, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 74-65 79%     11 - 9 4 - 5 +4.1 -5.0 +8.2
  Jan 31, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 72-78 32%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +2.2 +3.0 -1.0
  Feb 03, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. L 80-87 49%     11 - 11 4 - 7 -3.3 +5.8 -8.6
  Feb 07, 2024 161   Murray St. W 69-64 71%     12 - 11 5 - 7 +2.6 -3.8 +6.5
  Feb 10, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso W 96-78 79%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +12.9 +16.6 -4.4
  Feb 14, 2024 125   Southern Illinois W 82-68 63%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +14.1 +9.5 +4.8
  Feb 18, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 75-60 62%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +15.2 +5.2 +10.1
  Feb 21, 2024 53   @ Drake L 69-84 20%     15 - 12 8 - 8 -2.4 +4.5 -7.7
  Feb 24, 2024 149   Missouri St. W 93-78 68%     16 - 12 9 - 8 +13.5 +13.9 -1.5
  Feb 28, 2024 161   @ Murray St. W 83-61 53%     17 - 12 10 - 8 +24.8 +17.2 +9.2
  Mar 03, 2024 224   Evansville W 83-66 81%     18 - 12 11 - 8 +11.2 +5.4 +5.2
  Mar 07, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 86-61 85%     19 - 12 +17.3 +1.4 +13.6
  Mar 08, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 62-67 49%     19 - 13 -1.3 -13.4 +12.5
Projected Record 19 - 13 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%