Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#329
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#345
Pace65.2#271
Improvement+0.4#160

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#342
First Shot-7.2#343
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-6.2#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#341
Freethrows-0.5#220
Improvement+1.5#103

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#279
First Shot-3.2#282
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks-3.7#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#98
Freethrows-3.2#343
Improvement-1.1#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 141 - 16
Quad 42 - 123 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 276   @ Denver L 76-97 22%     0 - 1 -24.2 -5.6 -17.6
  Nov 11, 2023 151   @ Wyoming L 66-80 9%     0 - 2 -10.3 -8.4 -1.5
  Nov 17, 2023 157   St. Thomas W 61-60 14%     1 - 2 +1.3 +2.7 -1.2
  Nov 18, 2023 253   Portland St. L 57-73 27%     1 - 3 -20.8 -13.1 -8.5
  Nov 19, 2023 195   @ California Baptist L 58-67 13%     1 - 4 -8.2 -5.7 -3.7
  Nov 29, 2023 231   San Jose St. W 81-77 OT 31%     2 - 4 -2.1 +4.8 -6.8
  Dec 02, 2023 320   @ Idaho L 70-85 33%     2 - 5 -21.7 -1.3 -21.3
  Dec 04, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 63-70 2OT 8%     2 - 6 -2.5 -14.1 +12.3
  Dec 09, 2023 162   @ Weber St. L 50-78 10%     2 - 7 -25.2 -20.3 -6.3
  Dec 18, 2023 152   Eastern Washington L 53-62 18%     2 - 8 -10.7 -18.9 +7.3
  Dec 21, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha W 66-53 36%     3 - 8 +5.3 -7.8 +13.8
  Dec 28, 2023 229   Cal St. Northridge L 73-83 30%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -16.0 -5.8 -9.5
  Dec 30, 2023 165   @ UC Davis L 46-71 10%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -22.5 -16.5 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 82-89 20%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -9.3 -0.3 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara L 52-61 26%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -13.7 -18.0 +3.1
  Jan 11, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside L 56-71 14%     3 - 13 0 - 5 -14.6 -11.4 -4.7
  Jan 13, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 61-86 14%     3 - 14 0 - 6 -24.5 -11.7 -13.9
  Jan 20, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 53-65 16%     3 - 15 0 - 7 -12.7 -13.1 -0.9
  Jan 25, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton L 51-54 30%     3 - 16 0 - 8 -8.9 -14.8 +5.5
  Jan 27, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 73-83 10%     3 - 17 0 - 9 -7.1 -2.3 -4.2
  Feb 01, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 59-73 8%     3 - 18 0 - 10 -9.5 -6.2 -4.2
  Feb 03, 2024 165   UC Davis L 52-59 21%     3 - 19 0 - 11 -9.7 -13.7 +3.1
  Feb 08, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge L 65-78 16%     3 - 20 0 - 12 -13.8 -12.8 +0.4
  Feb 10, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. L 68-77 10%     3 - 21 0 - 13 -6.1 -9.9 +4.5
  Feb 15, 2024 159   Hawaii L 51-80 20%     3 - 22 0 - 14 -31.3 -21.2 -10.7
  Feb 22, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 50-68 16%     3 - 23 0 - 15 -18.7 -12.9 -8.7
  Feb 24, 2024 202   UC Riverside L 78-84 27%     3 - 24 0 - 16 -10.8 +7.5 -18.7
  Feb 29, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara L 75-83 14%     3 - 25 0 - 17 -7.5 +2.2 -9.8
  Mar 02, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield L 56-68 30%     3 - 26 0 - 18 -17.9 -11.5 -7.8
  Mar 07, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 68-82 4%     3 - 27 0 - 19 -4.3 +5.4 -10.6
  Mar 09, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 87-92 7%     3 - 28 0 - 20 +0.7 +18.4 -18.0
Projected Record 3 - 28 0 - 20




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20 100.0% 100.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%