Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#227
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#252
Pace62.9#329
Improvement+5.5#20

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#260
First Shot-5.2#313
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#65
Layup/Dunks-3.0#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.2#357
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+1.3#110

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot-2.8#275
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#14
Layups/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
Freethrows-1.9#303
Improvement+4.1#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 49 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 246   Southern Utah W 73-72 63%     1 - 0 -5.8 +1.7 -7.4
  Nov 09, 2023 76   @ USC L 59-85 11%     1 - 1 -16.2 -7.5 -9.1
  Nov 13, 2023 113   @ California L 63-83 18%     1 - 2 -13.8 -4.5 -10.0
  Nov 20, 2023 302   Sacramento St. W 75-71 67%     2 - 2 -3.9 +3.5 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2023 134   Tarleton St. L 40-59 29%     2 - 3 -16.7 -21.6 -0.4
  Nov 28, 2023 15   @ Gonzaga L 65-81 4%     2 - 4 +1.9 +0.8 +0.4
  Dec 09, 2023 322   @ South Dakota L 73-78 63%     2 - 5 -11.9 -1.5 -10.6
  Dec 15, 2023 213   @ Fresno St. L 58-61 37%     2 - 6 -3.1 -7.3 +3.9
  Dec 19, 2023 322   South Dakota W 96-76 80%     3 - 6 +8.0 +14.2 -6.3
  Dec 28, 2023 120   @ UC San Diego L 64-76 20%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -6.3 -5.5 -1.5
  Dec 30, 2023 77   UC Irvine L 56-75 23%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -14.5 -9.5 -6.3
  Jan 04, 2024 159   Hawaii L 67-78 46%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -13.3 -2.5 -11.4
  Jan 11, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-66 OT 35%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -1.5 -12.3 +10.8
  Jan 13, 2024 165   @ UC Davis L 71-78 OT 29%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -4.5 -1.9 -2.2
  Jan 18, 2024 202   UC Riverside W 80-56 56%     4 - 11 1 - 5 +19.2 +7.3 +12.7
  Jan 20, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 65-53 84%     5 - 11 2 - 5 -1.9 -5.8 +5.2
  Jan 25, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge W 64-56 40%     6 - 11 3 - 5 +7.2 -7.2 +14.3
  Jan 27, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 50-68 40%     6 - 12 3 - 6 -18.7 -18.4 -1.1
  Feb 01, 2024 160   Long Beach St. W 82-76 OT 46%     7 - 12 4 - 6 +3.7 +2.7 +0.7
  Feb 03, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara L 59-70 55%     7 - 13 4 - 7 -15.7 -9.4 -7.8
  Feb 08, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside L 63-65 36%     7 - 14 4 - 8 -1.6 -7.4 +5.7
  Feb 10, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-71 60%     8 - 14 5 - 8 -3.9 +2.2 -6.0
  Feb 15, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge L 71-76 60%     8 - 15 5 - 9 -11.0 +4.7 -16.2
  Feb 17, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 71-77 12%     8 - 16 5 - 10 +3.7 +6.1 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. L 66-79 28%     8 - 17 5 - 11 -10.1 -6.9 -3.2
  Feb 24, 2024 165   UC Davis W 75-56 48%     9 - 17 6 - 11 +16.3 +11.8 +6.7
  Feb 29, 2024 120   UC San Diego W 70-57 36%     10 - 17 7 - 11 +13.5 -2.9 +16.9
  Mar 02, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 68-56 70%     11 - 17 8 - 11 +3.3 +1.1 +3.6
  Mar 09, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 57-74 28%     11 - 18 8 - 12 -14.1 -8.6 -7.1
  Mar 13, 2024 202   UC Riverside L 78-83 46%     11 - 19 -7.2 +5.7 -13.1
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%