Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#48
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#42
Pace65.2#269
Improvement-6.2#356

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#46
First Shot+8.5#17
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#319
Layup/Dunks+5.3#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#119
Freethrows+2.5#43
Improvement-5.5#356

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#52
First Shot+3.3#72
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#74
Layups/Dunks+2.8#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows+1.7#61
Improvement-0.7#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round74.5% n/a n/a
Second Round33.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 16 - 7
Quad 23 - 29 - 9
Quad 37 - 116 - 10
Quad 46 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 103   Louisiana Tech W 81-73 78%     1 - 0 +10.5 +8.2 +2.1
  Nov 10, 2023 156   Wright St. W 105-77 88%     2 - 0 +25.8 +16.6 +7.0
  Nov 14, 2023 206   @ Northern Colorado W 83-64 83%     3 - 0 +19.2 +4.2 +14.4
  Nov 17, 2023 217   UMKC W 84-61 93%     4 - 0 +17.5 +10.7 +6.8
  Nov 22, 2023 74   Boston College W 86-74 63%     5 - 0 +19.3 +15.4 +3.9
  Nov 23, 2023 11   Creighton W 69-48 29%     6 - 0 +37.4 +6.1 +32.3
  Nov 29, 2023 29   Colorado W 88-83 52%     7 - 0 +15.2 +18.4 -3.2
  Dec 02, 2023 65   Washington W 86-81 57%     8 - 0 +13.8 +18.7 -4.8
  Dec 06, 2023 276   Denver W 90-80 95%     9 - 0 +1.6 +14.0 -11.9
  Dec 09, 2023 21   St. Mary's L 61-64 49%     9 - 1 +7.9 +2.9 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2023 180   @ Loyola Marymount W 76-67 80%     10 - 1 +10.7 +9.3 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2024 24   New Mexico W 76-68 50%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +18.5 +8.8 +9.8
  Jan 06, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 72-77 42%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +7.7 +3.9 +3.8
  Jan 09, 2024 45   @ Boise St. L 58-65 39%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +6.4 -3.2 +9.1
  Jan 16, 2024 244   Air Force W 78-69 OT 94%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +2.3 +1.7 +0.9
  Jan 19, 2024 73   UNLV W 78-75 71%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +7.9 +12.8 -4.7
  Jan 24, 2024 41   @ Nevada L 64-77 37%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +0.9 +3.9 -4.4
  Jan 27, 2024 151   @ Wyoming L 76-79 OT 75%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +0.7 -1.2 +2.1
  Jan 30, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 79-71 51%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +18.3 +18.2 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. W 73-61 84%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +11.9 +13.8 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2024 45   Boise St. W 75-62 59%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +21.2 +14.9 +7.8
  Feb 09, 2024 231   San Jose St. W 66-47 93%     17 - 5 7 - 4 +12.9 -6.2 +20.8
  Feb 13, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 55-71 32%     17 - 6 7 - 5 -0.5 -6.5 +5.5
  Feb 17, 2024 52   Utah St. W 75-55 62%     18 - 6 8 - 5 +27.5 +7.4 +20.9
  Feb 21, 2024 24   @ New Mexico L 66-68 31%     18 - 7 8 - 6 +13.7 +0.0 +13.8
  Feb 24, 2024 73   @ UNLV L 60-66 52%     18 - 8 8 - 7 +4.1 -1.6 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2024 41   Nevada L 74-77 57%     18 - 9 8 - 8 +5.7 +11.1 -5.6
  Mar 02, 2024 151   Wyoming W 70-62 87%     19 - 9 9 - 8 +6.5 -0.3 +7.3
  Mar 09, 2024 244   @ Air Force W 82-73 87%     20 - 9 10 - 8 +7.5 +18.3 -9.5
  Mar 13, 2024 231   San Jose St. W 72-62 90%     21 - 9 +6.5 +5.2 +2.7
  Mar 14, 2024 41   Nevada W 85-78 47%     22 - 9 +18.3 +18.2 +0.2
  Mar 15, 2024 24   New Mexico L 61-74 40%     22 - 10 +0.1 -3.3 +3.0
  Mar 19, 2024 66   Virginia W 61-59 59%    
Projected Record 23 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 74.8% 74.8% 8.1 0.1 3.9 13.1 32.7 21.0 3.9 0.1 25.2 74.8%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 74.8% 0.0% 74.8% 8.1 0.1 3.9 13.1 32.7 21.0 3.9 0.1 25.2 74.8%