Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#43
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#48
Pace69.2#148
Improvement-5.6#347

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#16
First Shot+7.0#27
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#66
Layup/Dunks+4.9#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#78
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement-2.1#297

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#113
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#148
Layups/Dunks+2.1#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows+1.5#80
Improvement-3.5#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 56.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four25.8% n/a n/a
First Round42.9% n/a n/a
Second Round19.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 02 - 1
Quad 27 - 49 - 5
Quad 39 - 118 - 6
Quad 47 - 225 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 92   Loyola Chicago W 75-62 68%     1 - 0 +19.3 +8.8 +10.4
  Nov 14, 2023 324   Eastern Michigan W 100-57 98%     2 - 0 +30.4 +28.6 +4.6
  Nov 18, 2023 183   Bryant L 52-61 91%     2 - 1 -12.6 -21.2 +8.9
  Nov 23, 2023 63   Butler W 91-86 58%     3 - 1 +14.0 +21.5 -7.5
  Nov 24, 2023 42   Texas A&M W 96-89 50%     4 - 1 +18.3 +31.6 -13.1
  Nov 26, 2023 61   Virginia Tech W 84-50 58%     5 - 1 +43.0 +11.1 +31.1
  Nov 30, 2023 148   Liberty W 83-58 88%     6 - 1 +23.6 +17.4 +8.9
  Dec 02, 2023 100   College of Charleston W 90-74 79%     7 - 1 +18.6 +13.0 +5.1
  Dec 05, 2023 10   Illinois L 89-98 29%     7 - 2 +7.9 +12.4 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2023 278   Florida International W 94-60 96%     8 - 2 +25.5 +14.1 +10.5
  Dec 16, 2023 102   St. Bonaventure W 64-54 72%     9 - 2 +15.1 -7.1 +22.2
  Dec 23, 2023 5   Arizona W 96-95 2OT 21%     10 - 2 +20.5 +12.4 +7.9
  Dec 30, 2023 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-72 87%     10 - 3 -4.8 +0.5 -5.6
  Jan 02, 2024 177   East Carolina W 79-64 91%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +11.5 +15.5 -1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 68-70 69%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +3.9 +6.3 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2024 132   @ Tulane W 85-84 73%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +5.9 +9.9 -4.0
  Jan 14, 2024 99   UAB W 86-73 79%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +15.6 +9.4 +5.9
  Jan 18, 2024 145   Wichita St. W 86-77 87%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +7.8 +14.4 -6.6
  Jan 21, 2024 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 112-103 OT 88%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +7.6 +18.9 -12.6
  Jan 24, 2024 218   @ Rice W 69-56 86%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +12.7 -1.7 +15.2
  Jan 28, 2024 78   North Texas W 66-63 74%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +7.5 +7.8 +0.1
  Feb 03, 2024 190   Tulsa W 102-70 92%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +27.9 +16.7 +7.6
  Feb 08, 2024 99   @ UAB L 73-76 OT 63%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +4.8 -0.6 +5.5
  Feb 11, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. W 95-82 OT 75%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +17.0 +15.2 +0.4
  Feb 15, 2024 178   Temple W 80-68 91%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +8.5 +14.4 -4.8
  Feb 18, 2024 89   @ South Florida L 86-90 58%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +5.0 +15.8 -10.6
  Feb 22, 2024 71   SMU W 80-70 72%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +15.0 +12.3 +3.0
  Feb 25, 2024 70   @ Memphis L 74-78 54%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +6.2 +4.9 +1.3
  Mar 02, 2024 132   Tulane W 79-73 86%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +5.7 -1.8 +7.1
  Mar 06, 2024 78   @ North Texas W 80-76 56%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +13.7 +15.3 -1.6
  Mar 09, 2024 70   Memphis W 92-84 72%     24 - 7 14 - 4 +13.1 +19.6 -6.6
  Mar 15, 2024 78   North Texas W 77-71 66%     25 - 7 +13.1 +13.4 +0.0
  Mar 16, 2024 178   Temple L 73-74 87%     25 - 8 -1.9 +0.3 -2.2
  Mar 22, 2024 40   Northwestern L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 25 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 56.3% 56.3% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.3 11.2 28.1 13.2 43.7 56.3%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 56.3% 0.0% 56.3% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.3 11.2 28.1 13.2 43.7 56.3%