Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#101
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#106
Pace61.6#339
Improvement-1.4#250

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#126
First Shot+0.9#158
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#109
Layup/Dunks-0.4#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
Freethrows-0.1#180
Improvement-2.0#290

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#87
First Shot+2.7#94
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks+4.6#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#284
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement+0.6#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 54 - 7
Quad 36 - 510 - 12
Quad 49 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 200   Monmouth W 72-61 82%     1 - 0 +6.3 -3.7 +10.0
  Nov 10, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 67-45 84%     2 - 0 +16.3 -5.1 +23.9
  Nov 15, 2023 108   Cornell W 90-83 62%     3 - 0 +8.8 +16.4 -7.5
  Nov 19, 2023 116   Charlotte L 49-54 57%     3 - 1 -1.7 -14.0 +11.5
  Nov 20, 2023 139   South Dakota St. W 73-71 63%     4 - 1 +3.7 +7.0 -3.1
  Nov 25, 2023 177   East Carolina W 81-59 79%     5 - 1 +18.5 +21.7 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2023 335   NJIT W 86-68 95%     6 - 1 +3.7 +7.3 -3.4
  Dec 02, 2023 140   @ Toledo W 86-77 53%     7 - 1 +13.3 +13.0 +0.4
  Dec 05, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 66-87 8%     7 - 2 +0.1 +3.5 -2.9
  Dec 16, 2023 344   Loyola Maryland W 62-54 96%     8 - 2 -7.9 -8.4 +1.7
  Dec 22, 2023 132   @ Tulane W 69-66 51%     9 - 2 +7.9 -3.1 +11.0
  Dec 30, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 94-69 96%     10 - 2 +9.0 +12.7 -4.0
  Jan 03, 2024 192   @ La Salle W 77-62 65%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +16.0 +8.4 +8.4
  Jan 06, 2024 191   Saint Louis W 79-67 81%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +7.9 +6.5 +2.5
  Jan 09, 2024 81   Virginia Commonwealth L 50-54 53%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +0.2 -10.8 +10.4
  Jan 13, 2024 88   @ Richmond L 70-77 35%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +2.1 +11.7 -10.3
  Jan 15, 2024 203   @ George Washington L 62-75 68%     12 - 5 2 - 3 -12.6 -15.2 +3.1
  Jan 20, 2024 102   St. Bonaventure W 69-60 60%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +11.5 +1.8 +10.4
  Jan 27, 2024 210   Rhode Island W 92-84 83%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +2.8 +19.1 -15.9
  Jan 31, 2024 105   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-75 41%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +5.4 +6.8 -1.5
  Feb 03, 2024 97   @ Massachusetts L 65-66 37%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +7.4 +0.9 +6.4
  Feb 07, 2024 92   Loyola Chicago L 79-85 56%     14 - 8 4 - 6 -2.3 +16.3 -19.0
  Feb 10, 2024 126   @ Davidson W 57-55 50%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +7.2 -1.1 +8.6
  Feb 13, 2024 203   George Washington W 90-67 82%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +18.2 +15.3 +3.6
  Feb 21, 2024 44   Dayton W 71-67 38%     17 - 8 7 - 6 +12.3 +12.7 +0.3
  Feb 24, 2024 92   @ Loyola Chicago L 59-80 36%     17 - 9 7 - 7 -12.1 -2.2 -11.2
  Feb 27, 2024 185   @ Fordham L 60-61 64%     17 - 10 7 - 8 +0.5 -0.7 +1.1
  Mar 02, 2024 91   Duquesne L 51-59 55%     17 - 11 7 - 9 -4.3 -11.2 +6.0
  Mar 06, 2024 210   @ Rhode Island W 69-51 69%     18 - 11 8 - 9 +18.0 +3.0 +17.2
  Mar 09, 2024 88   Richmond W 64-46 55%     19 - 11 9 - 9 +21.9 +8.2 +17.2
  Mar 13, 2024 105   Saint Joseph's L 57-64 51%     19 - 12 -2.2 -5.2 +1.9
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%