Pre-tourney Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#282
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#243
Pace63.5#313
Improvement+5.9#16

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#304
First Shot-3.9#285
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#263
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#338
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement+3.1#43

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#205
First Shot-2.5#263
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#62
Layups/Dunks-0.4#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#328
Freethrows+0.7#142
Improvement+2.8#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round37.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 00 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 417 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 29   @ Colorado L 63-95 3%     0 - 1 -16.6 -5.1 -10.7
  Nov 17, 2023 295   Delaware St. L 63-71 54%     0 - 2 -15.3 -13.5 -1.2
  Nov 19, 2023 7   @ Iowa St. L 37-92 1%     0 - 3 -34.2 -20.1 -16.1
  Nov 22, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. L 68-86 22%     0 - 4 -16.2 +2.0 -19.5
  Nov 24, 2023 131   @ Troy L 67-80 15%     0 - 5 -7.9 -4.2 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2023 44   @ Dayton L 46-76 4%     0 - 6 -16.5 -16.5 -4.0
  Dec 10, 2023 39   @ Washington St. L 65-83 4%     0 - 7 -4.0 +3.7 -8.8
  Dec 14, 2023 53   @ Drake L 56-68 5%     0 - 8 +0.6 -8.9 +8.8
  Dec 20, 2023 310   @ SE Louisiana L 47-48 49%     0 - 9 -6.8 -13.8 +6.7
  Dec 22, 2023 22   @ Florida L 57-96 3%     0 - 10 -23.0 -9.9 -13.8
  Jan 06, 2024 342   Prairie View W 69-63 82%     1 - 10 1 - 0 -9.7 -5.2 -4.2
  Jan 08, 2024 281   Texas Southern L 52-54 60%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -10.7 -19.3 +8.4
  Jan 13, 2024 315   @ Bethune-Cookman W 79-69 51%     2 - 11 2 - 1 +3.7 +4.1 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2024 345   @ Florida A&M W 65-52 67%     3 - 11 3 - 1 +2.2 -0.1 +4.4
  Jan 20, 2024 288   Southern W 79-62 62%     4 - 11 4 - 1 +7.8 +4.3 +3.2
  Jan 27, 2024 362   Mississippi Valley W 54-46 94%     5 - 11 5 - 1 -15.5 -26.4 +11.0
  Jan 29, 2024 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-86 81%     5 - 12 5 - 2 -31.4 -10.3 -21.7
  Feb 03, 2024 317   Jackson St. W 70-62 61%     6 - 12 6 - 2 -1.1 +2.8 -2.7
  Feb 05, 2024 303   @ Alcorn St. W 78-67 47%     7 - 12 7 - 2 +5.6 +10.7 -3.3
  Feb 10, 2024 323   Alabama St. W 74-68 73%     8 - 12 8 - 2 -6.6 -1.0 -5.7
  Feb 12, 2024 328   Alabama A&M L 50-60 77%     8 - 13 8 - 3 -23.8 -25.7 +1.8
  Feb 17, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern W 66-63 40%     9 - 13 9 - 3 -0.5 -2.1 +1.8
  Feb 19, 2024 342   @ Prairie View W 83-74 66%     10 - 13 10 - 3 -1.5 +8.0 -9.4
  Feb 24, 2024 288   @ Southern W 63-57 42%     11 - 13 11 - 3 +2.0 +2.5 +0.4
  Mar 02, 2024 345   Florida A&M W 75-68 82%     12 - 13 12 - 3 -9.0 +0.6 -9.2
  Mar 04, 2024 315   Bethune-Cookman W 69-60 70%     13 - 13 13 - 3 -2.5 -8.8 +6.1
  Mar 07, 2024 328   @ Alabama A&M W 74-73 59%     14 - 13 14 - 3 -7.6 +0.2 -7.9
  Mar 09, 2024 323   @ Alabama St. L 84-87 2OT 55%     14 - 14 14 - 4 -10.4 +0.3 -10.3
  Mar 13, 2024 323   Alabama St. W 56-50 65%     15 - 14 -4.0 -7.6 +4.6
  Mar 15, 2024 315   Bethune-Cookman W 65-53 61%     16 - 14 +3.1 -8.2 +11.7
  Mar 16, 2024 281   Texas Southern W 75-66 50%     17 - 14 +2.9 +8.1 -4.4
  Mar 20, 2024 214   Montana St. L 66-69 37%    
Projected Record 17 - 15 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0