Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#351
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#349
Pace73.2#57
Improvement-5.2#342

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#332
First Shot-3.4#276
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#352
Layup/Dunks-4.7#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement-4.6#350

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#351
First Shot-4.1#313
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#348
Layups/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement-0.6#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 45 - 166 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 23   @ Texas L 56-88 1%     0 - 1 -16.2 -16.0 +2.4
  Nov 11, 2023 190   @ Tulsa L 71-85 9%     0 - 2 -12.9 -6.4 -5.2
  Nov 18, 2023 340   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 100-81 35%     1 - 2 +8.8 +14.1 -6.3
  Nov 22, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. W 67-66 20%     2 - 2 -4.0 -3.3 -0.7
  Nov 25, 2023 241   @ Texas San Antonio L 80-90 12%     2 - 3 -11.4 -7.0 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. L 65-67 14%     2 - 4 -4.4 -1.1 -3.6
  Dec 01, 2023 315   @ Bethune-Cookman L 82-96 23%     2 - 5 -20.3 -6.4 -11.5
  Dec 09, 2023 311   Northern Arizona L 75-76 39%     2 - 6 -12.1 -1.9 -10.1
  Dec 13, 2023 218   @ Rice L 57-80 11%     2 - 7 -23.3 -15.8 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2023 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 67-66 10%     3 - 7 +1.2 +1.5 -0.2
  Dec 30, 2023 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-77 31%     3 - 8 -11.7 -3.6 -8.0
  Jan 06, 2024 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-75 17%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.0 -4.4 -10.0
  Jan 08, 2024 226   @ Lamar L 59-75 11%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -16.7 -12.9 -4.2
  Jan 13, 2024 325   @ Northwestern St. L 71-97 27%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -33.8 -8.7 -23.6
  Jan 20, 2024 75   McNeese St. L 66-80 5%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -9.3 -7.0 -1.8
  Jan 22, 2024 248   Nicholls St. L 74-78 OT 25%     3 - 13 0 - 5 -10.9 -4.5 -6.3
  Jan 27, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 79-75 68%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -14.7 -6.7 -8.2
  Jan 31, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 66-71 31%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -13.9 -5.7 -8.5
  Feb 03, 2024 343   @ New Orleans W 82-80 37%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -8.6 -2.9 -5.8
  Feb 05, 2024 310   @ SE Louisiana L 64-76 22%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -17.8 -6.5 -12.2
  Feb 10, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian L 83-86 48%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -16.5 -2.7 -13.7
  Feb 12, 2024 226   Lamar W 76-67 22%     6 - 16 3 - 8 +3.1 -4.8 +7.2
  Feb 17, 2024 325   Northwestern St. L 61-81 46%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -33.0 -14.6 -19.3
  Feb 19, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce L 72-76 OT 50%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -18.1 -15.4 -2.2
  Feb 24, 2024 75   @ McNeese St. L 71-87 2%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -6.1 +2.3 -8.3
  Feb 26, 2024 248   @ Nicholls St. L 82-92 13%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -11.7 +7.1 -18.7
  Mar 02, 2024 343   New Orleans L 80-87 57%     6 - 21 3 - 13 -22.8 -7.7 -14.6
  Mar 04, 2024 310   SE Louisiana L 56-73 39%     6 - 22 3 - 14 -28.0 -21.5 -6.5
  Mar 06, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 52-71 9%     6 - 23 3 - 15 -17.8 -19.5 +2.5
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%