Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.2#7
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#4
Pace68.3#175
Improvement+3.5#49

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#61
First Shot+2.8#99
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#50
Layup/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#291
Freethrows+1.1#90
Improvement-1.2#254

Defense
Total Defense+13.1#1
First Shot+11.7#2
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#66
Layups/Dunks+14.2#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#292
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement+4.7#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3.8% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 46.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 96.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight44.4% n/a n/a
Final Four23.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.9% n/a n/a
National Champion5.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 36 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 310 - 6
Quad 26 - 116 - 7
Quad 32 - 018 - 7
Quad 49 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 242   Green Bay W 85-44 98%     1 - 0 +34.3 +16.5 +21.7
  Nov 09, 2023 356   Lindenwood W 102-47 99.7%    2 - 0 +36.8 +18.2 +16.5
  Nov 12, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 86-55 98%     3 - 0 +23.4 +6.7 +15.9
  Nov 19, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 92-37 99%     4 - 0 +46.2 +20.2 +28.0
  Nov 23, 2023 81   Virginia Commonwealth W 68-64 85%     5 - 0 +10.8 +6.9 +4.4
  Nov 24, 2023 61   Virginia Tech L 62-71 81%     5 - 1 +0.0 -5.8 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2023 42   Texas A&M L 69-73 75%     5 - 2 +7.3 -2.5 +10.0
  Dec 01, 2023 294   @ DePaul W 99-80 97%     6 - 2 +14.4 +15.8 -2.9
  Dec 07, 2023 49   Iowa W 90-65 83%     7 - 2 +32.8 +11.8 +19.7
  Dec 10, 2023 342   Prairie View W 107-56 99.5%    8 - 2 +35.3 +12.8 +15.1
  Dec 17, 2023 345   Florida A&M W 96-58 99.5%    9 - 2 +22.0 +17.6 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2023 321   Eastern Illinois W 80-48 99%     10 - 2 +20.1 +6.6 +14.8
  Dec 31, 2023 262   New Hampshire W 85-70 98%     11 - 2 +7.2 +2.5 +3.3
  Jan 06, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma L 63-71 66%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +6.1 +3.3 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2024 2   Houston W 57-53 49%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +22.4 +2.9 +20.0
  Jan 13, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 66-42 93%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +26.0 +0.4 +28.0
  Jan 16, 2024 17   @ BYU L 72-87 54%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +2.1 +6.5 -4.6
  Jan 20, 2024 31   @ TCU W 73-72 61%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +16.3 +7.6 +8.7
  Jan 24, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 78-67 86%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +17.4 +10.2 +7.1
  Jan 27, 2024 20   Kansas W 79-75 75%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +15.1 +13.1 +1.9
  Feb 03, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 68-70 51%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +15.9 +5.8 +10.0
  Feb 06, 2024 23   @ Texas W 70-65 59%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +20.8 +7.7 +13.4
  Feb 10, 2024 31   TCU W 71-59 78%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +22.1 +13.8 +10.2
  Feb 13, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati W 68-59 64%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +23.4 +6.9 +17.0
  Feb 17, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 82-74 77%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +18.4 +9.3 +8.8
  Feb 19, 2024 2   @ Houston L 65-73 30%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +15.6 +10.0 +5.1
  Feb 24, 2024 129   West Virginia W 71-64 95%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +6.9 -1.1 +8.2
  Feb 28, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 58-45 81%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +21.9 -3.9 +27.2
  Mar 02, 2024 55   @ Central Florida W 60-52 72%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +20.2 -0.3 +21.0
  Mar 06, 2024 17   BYU W 68-63 73%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +17.0 +0.3 +16.7
  Mar 09, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. L 58-65 74%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +4.6 -3.4 +7.7
  Mar 14, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 76-57 81%     25 - 7 +28.0 +15.1 +14.1
  Mar 15, 2024 14   Baylor W 76-62 61%     26 - 7 +29.3 +10.6 +19.4
  Mar 16, 2024 2   Houston W 69-41 39%     27 - 7 +49.0 +18.7 +34.5
  Mar 21, 2024 139   South Dakota St. W 77-61 93%    
Projected Record 28 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.6 46.4 49.9 3.7 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.6 46.4 49.9 3.7 0.0