Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#16
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#19
Pace79.0#14
Improvement-0.4#205

Offense
Total Offense+12.3#5
First Shot+12.4#2
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#183
Layup/Dunks+2.4#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#19
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#27
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+1.9#85

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
First Shot+2.8#90
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#207
Layups/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#257
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement-2.3#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 61.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round81.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.6% n/a n/a
Final Four7.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 26 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 56 - 7
Quad 22 - 18 - 8
Quad 38 - 116 - 9
Quad 47 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 280   New Mexico St. W 86-46 97%     1 - 0 +31.4 +10.6 +21.1
  Nov 10, 2023 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-61 99%     2 - 0 +5.9 +7.3 -0.3
  Nov 14, 2023 20   Kansas L 84-89 54%     2 - 1 +8.7 +6.9 +2.6
  Nov 17, 2023 358   Stonehill W 101-67 99%     3 - 1 +15.0 +15.7 -2.4
  Nov 20, 2023 105   Saint Joseph's W 96-88 OT 88%     4 - 1 +10.2 +11.3 -2.1
  Nov 24, 2023 236   Marshall W 118-82 96%     5 - 1 +29.7 +29.1 -3.7
  Nov 28, 2023 94   Miami (FL) W 95-73 85%     6 - 1 +25.5 +20.7 +4.2
  Dec 02, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington L 73-80 91%     6 - 2 -7.1 -9.7 +3.2
  Dec 09, 2023 223   Penn W 81-66 94%     7 - 2 +11.9 +2.0 +9.7
  Dec 16, 2023 8   North Carolina W 87-83 39%     8 - 2 +21.6 +12.2 +8.9
  Dec 21, 2023 179   @ Louisville W 95-76 89%     9 - 2 +20.7 +15.1 +4.1
  Dec 29, 2023 182   Illinois St. W 96-70 95%     10 - 2 +22.4 +21.9 +0.2
  Jan 06, 2024 22   @ Florida W 87-85 46%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +18.0 +6.5 +11.2
  Jan 09, 2024 135   Missouri W 90-77 92%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +12.5 +8.9 +2.5
  Jan 13, 2024 42   @ Texas A&M L 92-97 OT 54%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +8.9 +13.3 -3.8
  Jan 17, 2024 30   Mississippi St. W 90-77 67%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +23.2 +23.9 -0.6
  Jan 20, 2024 84   Georgia W 105-96 84%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +13.1 +18.8 -7.1
  Jan 23, 2024 51   @ South Carolina L 62-79 58%     14 - 4 4 - 2 -4.2 +2.0 -8.1
  Jan 27, 2024 104   @ Arkansas W 63-57 76%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +13.6 -6.8 +20.4
  Jan 31, 2024 22   Florida L 91-94 OT 65%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +7.8 +9.0 -0.9
  Feb 03, 2024 6   Tennessee L 92-103 46%     15 - 6 5 - 4 +4.9 +23.4 -17.9
  Feb 06, 2024 167   @ Vanderbilt W 109-77 87%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +34.4 +30.7 +1.8
  Feb 10, 2024 15   Gonzaga L 85-89 58%     16 - 7 +8.7 +14.7 -6.0
  Feb 13, 2024 83   Mississippi W 75-63 84%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +16.2 -0.2 +16.1
  Feb 17, 2024 3   @ Auburn W 70-59 20%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +34.6 +12.3 +22.8
  Feb 21, 2024 87   @ LSU L 74-75 71%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +8.2 +5.4 +2.9
  Feb 24, 2024 13   Alabama W 117-95 55%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +35.5 +30.8 +2.0
  Feb 27, 2024 30   @ Mississippi St. W 91-89 48%     20 - 8 10 - 5 +17.4 +22.8 -5.5
  Mar 02, 2024 104   Arkansas W 111-102 87%     21 - 8 11 - 5 +11.4 +17.9 -8.2
  Mar 06, 2024 167   Vanderbilt W 93-77 94%     22 - 8 12 - 5 +13.2 +12.2 -0.1
  Mar 09, 2024 6   @ Tennessee W 85-81 27%     23 - 8 13 - 5 +25.1 +19.8 +5.1
  Mar 15, 2024 42   Texas A&M L 87-97 63%     23 - 9 +1.3 +11.9 -9.9
  Mar 21, 2024 142   Oakland W 89-76 89%    
Projected Record 24 - 9 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 4.3 0.0 0.6 9.7 50.6 36.5 2.2 0.0 0.3 99.7%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 4.3 0.0 0.6 9.7 50.6 36.5 2.2 0.0 0.3 99.7%