Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#314
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#316
Pace64.2#304
Improvement+1.9#108

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#345
First Shot-4.7#300
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#348
Layup/Dunks+0.3#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#210
Freethrows-2.4#327
Improvement+2.6#51

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#195
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#216
Layups/Dunks+2.8#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement-0.7#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 30 - 81 - 11
Quad 49 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 105   @ Saint Joseph's L 60-81 7%     0 - 1 -13.6 -9.0 -4.9
  Nov 10, 2023 93   @ UCLA L 50-68 6%     0 - 2 -9.2 -11.8 +0.8
  Nov 12, 2023 196   @ Pepperdine L 53-76 18%     0 - 3 -22.4 -20.7 -1.8
  Nov 24, 2023 223   @ Penn L 72-74 21%     0 - 4 -2.5 +3.2 -5.9
  Nov 25, 2023 200   Monmouth L 53-63 26%     0 - 5 -12.1 -22.6 +10.7
  Nov 26, 2023 114   Belmont L 69-79 13%     0 - 6 -6.5 -6.4 +0.5
  Nov 29, 2023 136   Drexel L 48-69 22%     0 - 7 -21.7 -19.6 -4.6
  Dec 02, 2023 108   Cornell L 71-79 16%     0 - 8 -6.2 -7.9 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2023 249   @ Columbia L 72-83 25%     0 - 9 -12.8 +0.1 -13.5
  Dec 09, 2023 192   La Salle L 51-67 32%     0 - 10 -20.2 -22.9 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2023 172   Quinnipiac L 60-78 29%     0 - 11 -21.2 -14.7 -6.5
  Dec 30, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 38-59 6%     0 - 12 -11.9 -26.6 +14.1
  Jan 03, 2024 336   Army W 52-47 71%     1 - 12 1 - 0 -9.5 -11.1 +2.8
  Jan 06, 2024 296   @ Boston University W 59-51 34%     2 - 12 2 - 0 +3.3 -11.9 +15.6
  Jan 10, 2024 146   @ Colgate W 69-64 12%     3 - 12 3 - 0 +8.9 +4.4 +4.8
  Jan 13, 2024 319   Navy W 78-62 61%     4 - 12 4 - 0 +4.1 +3.2 +1.5
  Jan 17, 2024 341   @ Holy Cross W 72-68 56%     5 - 12 5 - 0 -6.4 +0.8 -6.6
  Jan 20, 2024 269   Bucknell W 75-72 OT 47%     6 - 12 6 - 0 -5.2 -1.6 -3.7
  Jan 24, 2024 344   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-44 57%     7 - 12 7 - 0 +15.3 +4.7 +14.8
  Jan 27, 2024 296   Boston University L 48-62 54%     7 - 13 7 - 1 -23.9 -22.7 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2024 287   American L 66-69 51%     7 - 14 7 - 2 -12.2 -3.6 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2024 336   @ Army W 64-56 OT 52%     8 - 14 8 - 2 -1.3 -3.3 +2.8
  Feb 07, 2024 341   Holy Cross W 75-59 74%     9 - 14 9 - 2 +0.4 +3.2 -0.3
  Feb 10, 2024 255   @ Lehigh L 90-94 2OT 27%     9 - 15 9 - 3 -6.4 +5.6 -11.5
  Feb 14, 2024 344   Loyola Maryland L 64-79 75%     9 - 16 9 - 4 -30.9 -12.0 -19.5
  Feb 17, 2024 287   @ American W 68-62 32%     10 - 16 10 - 4 +2.0 +1.6 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2024 146   Colgate L 62-67 23%     10 - 17 10 - 5 -6.3 -4.5 -2.2
  Feb 24, 2024 255   Lehigh L 63-71 45%     10 - 18 10 - 6 -15.6 -10.5 -5.2
  Feb 28, 2024 319   @ Navy L 58-62 41%     10 - 19 10 - 7 -10.7 -9.9 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2024 269   @ Bucknell L 50-60 28%     10 - 20 10 - 8 -13.0 -14.7 +0.0
  Mar 07, 2024 255   Lehigh L 61-76 45%     10 - 21 -22.6 -13.3 -9.3
Projected Record 10 - 21 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%