Pre-tourney Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#75
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#61
Pace64.6#289
Improvement+0.2#174

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#76
First Shot+6.2#35
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#297
Layup/Dunks+5.1#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#156
Freethrows-1.5#286
Improvement-2.5#307

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#91
First Shot+2.5#102
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#121
Layups/Dunks+5.4#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#356
Freethrows+2.0#49
Improvement+2.7#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round26.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 21 - 22 - 2
Quad 35 - 07 - 2
Quad 419 - 126 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 81   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 76-65 42%     1 - 0 +20.4 +14.9 +6.4
  Nov 18, 2023 121   @ Western Carolina L 74-76 56%     1 - 1 +3.7 +13.8 -10.5
  Nov 21, 2023 187   Texas St. W 59-48 79%     2 - 1 +9.9 +1.5 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2023 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-71 48%     2 - 2 -1.3 +3.2 -5.9
  Nov 28, 2023 99   @ UAB W 81-60 48%     3 - 2 +28.8 +14.2 +15.9
  Dec 02, 2023 215   Tennessee Martin W 91-80 88%     4 - 2 +5.5 +9.9 -4.8
  Dec 13, 2023 230   Southern Miss W 67-48 89%     5 - 2 +12.9 +0.1 +14.9
  Dec 17, 2023 153   Louisiana W 74-72 81%     6 - 2 +0.1 +6.3 -6.1
  Dec 29, 2023 117   @ Michigan W 87-76 55%     7 - 2 +16.9 +14.6 +2.1
  Jan 06, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-67 93%     8 - 2 1 - 0 -2.9 +0.6 -3.2
  Jan 08, 2024 325   @ Northwestern St. W 68-59 91%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +1.2 -10.2 +11.1
  Jan 13, 2024 310   SE Louisiana W 74-65 95%     10 - 2 3 - 0 -2.0 +7.1 -7.9
  Jan 15, 2024 226   Lamar W 88-69 89%     11 - 2 4 - 0 +13.1 +15.9 -2.0
  Jan 20, 2024 351   @ Incarnate Word W 80-66 95%     12 - 2 5 - 0 +2.6 -0.8 +3.0
  Jan 22, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 62-61 72%     13 - 2 6 - 0 +2.2 -8.3 +10.4
  Jan 27, 2024 343   New Orleans W 102-65 97%     14 - 2 7 - 0 +21.2 +25.4 -2.3
  Jan 29, 2024 325   Northwestern St. W 89-65 96%     15 - 2 8 - 0 +11.0 +17.1 -4.3
  Feb 03, 2024 310   @ SE Louisiana L 74-77 89%     15 - 3 8 - 1 -8.8 +3.4 -12.4
  Feb 05, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-51 97%     16 - 3 9 - 1 +11.9 +8.7 +6.5
  Feb 10, 2024 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-67 85%     17 - 3 10 - 1 +3.0 -2.3 +4.9
  Feb 12, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 105-54 96%     18 - 3 11 - 1 +37.5 +19.0 +16.2
  Feb 17, 2024 248   @ Nicholls St. W 74-47 80%     19 - 3 12 - 1 +25.3 +2.2 +24.1
  Feb 24, 2024 351   Incarnate Word W 87-71 98%     20 - 3 13 - 1 -0.6 +5.7 -6.3
  Feb 26, 2024 226   @ Lamar W 58-56 78%     21 - 3 14 - 1 +1.3 -9.9 +11.4
  Mar 02, 2024 248   Nicholls St. W 83-62 90%     22 - 3 15 - 1 +14.1 +8.2 +6.5
  Mar 04, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 87-69 98%     23 - 3 16 - 1 -0.7 +3.9 -4.5
  Mar 06, 2024 343   @ New Orleans W 81-57 94%     24 - 3 17 - 1 +13.4 +1.8 +11.5
  Mar 12, 2024 226   Lamar W 76-57 89%     25 - 3 +13.1 +7.8 +7.2
  Mar 13, 2024 248   Nicholls St. W 92-76 90%     26 - 3 +9.1 +30.6 -18.8
  Mar 21, 2024 15   Gonzaga L 71-79 22%    
Projected Record 26 - 4 17 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 10.4 80.4 9.3 0.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.0 10.4 80.4 9.3 0.0