Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#70
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#68
Pace76.7#24
Improvement-3.2#310

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#62
First Shot+4.3#65
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#125
Layup/Dunks+3.5#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#230
Freethrows+3.4#20
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot+2.8#89
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#204
Layups/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#302
Freethrows+2.2#41
Improvement-3.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 3
Quad 24 - 36 - 6
Quad 311 - 317 - 9
Quad 45 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 317   Jackson St. W 94-77 95%     1 - 0 +5.3 +0.9 +1.9
  Nov 10, 2023 135   @ Missouri W 70-55 61%     2 - 0 +19.7 -1.9 +21.5
  Nov 17, 2023 323   Alabama St. W 92-75 96%     3 - 0 +4.4 +10.9 -7.8
  Nov 22, 2023 117   Michigan W 71-67 66%     4 - 0 +7.3 -0.2 +7.5
  Nov 23, 2023 104   Arkansas W 84-79 60%     5 - 0 +10.0 +10.6 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2023 35   Villanova L 63-79 34%     5 - 1 -4.2 -1.4 -2.8
  Dec 02, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 77-80 43%     5 - 2 +6.4 +1.0 +5.6
  Dec 06, 2023 81   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 85-80 OT 43%     6 - 2 +14.4 +12.6 +1.6
  Dec 10, 2023 42   @ Texas A&M W 81-75 27%     7 - 2 +19.9 +12.7 +7.1
  Dec 16, 2023 36   Clemson W 79-77 44%     8 - 2 +11.1 +4.8 +6.3
  Dec 19, 2023 66   Virginia W 77-54 57%     9 - 2 +28.8 +13.0 +16.1
  Dec 23, 2023 167   Vanderbilt W 77-75 84%     10 - 2 -0.8 -0.6 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 81-70 89%     11 - 2 +5.3 -2.3 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2024 190   @ Tulsa W 78-75 73%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +4.1 +2.0 +1.9
  Jan 07, 2024 71   SMU W 62-59 60%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +8.0 -8.9 +16.9
  Jan 10, 2024 241   Texas San Antonio W 107-101 OT 90%     14 - 2 3 - 0 -0.6 +10.2 -11.8
  Jan 14, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. W 112-86 64%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +30.0 +39.0 -9.8
  Jan 18, 2024 89   South Florida L 73-74 65%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +2.8 +6.4 -3.6
  Jan 21, 2024 132   @ Tulane L 79-81 61%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +2.9 +5.2 -2.2
  Jan 28, 2024 99   @ UAB L 88-97 49%     15 - 5 4 - 3 -1.2 +3.4 -3.2
  Jan 31, 2024 218   Rice L 71-74 89%     15 - 6 4 - 4 -8.5 -6.6 -2.0
  Feb 03, 2024 145   Wichita St. W 65-63 80%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +0.8 -1.1 +2.1
  Feb 08, 2024 178   @ Temple W 84-77 72%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +8.7 +6.4 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2024 132   Tulane W 90-78 78%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +11.7 +6.4 +4.2
  Feb 15, 2024 78   @ North Texas L 66-76 42%     18 - 7 7 - 5 -0.3 +4.9 -6.1
  Feb 18, 2024 71   @ SMU L 79-106 40%     18 - 8 7 - 6 -16.8 +4.1 -18.3
  Feb 21, 2024 116   Charlotte W 76-52 75%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +24.7 +13.1 +14.7
  Feb 25, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic W 78-74 46%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +12.6 +5.9 +6.6
  Feb 29, 2024 177   @ East Carolina W 82-58 72%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +25.7 +5.9 +18.5
  Mar 03, 2024 99   UAB W 106-87 69%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +21.6 +23.9 -3.7
  Mar 09, 2024 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 84-92 28%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +5.8 +13.8 -8.0
  Mar 14, 2024 145   Wichita St. L 65-71 73%     22 - 10 -4.6 -4.9 +0.1
Projected Record 22 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%