Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#251
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Pace71.4#93
Improvement+1.2#124

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#252
First Shot-2.1#242
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#229
Layup/Dunks-1.2#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows-1.9#303
Improvement+2.0#80

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#230
First Shot-1.8#233
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks-2.6#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#50
Freethrows-2.6#322
Improvement-0.8#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 412 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 60   @ Maryland L 53-68 7%     0 - 1 -3.1 -7.0 +2.9
  Nov 11, 2023 360   Coppin St. W 74-60 92%     1 - 1 -5.9 -3.0 -2.7
  Nov 18, 2023 176   @ Georgetown L 72-83 27%     1 - 2 -9.2 -9.7 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2023 287   @ American L 65-68 48%     1 - 3 -7.0 -6.3 -0.9
  Nov 25, 2023 275   Howard L 83-87 2OT 65%     1 - 4 -12.4 -8.4 -3.4
  Dec 01, 2023 339   @ Manhattan L 74-75 OT 69%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -10.7 -7.0 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2023 354   Siena W 80-48 89%     2 - 5 1 - 1 +14.3 +2.4 +12.4
  Dec 05, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 68-77 10%     2 - 6 +0.4 -3.0 +3.6
  Dec 09, 2023 344   @ Loyola Maryland W 77-64 72%     3 - 6 +2.3 +0.3 +2.0
  Dec 15, 2023 355   @ St. Francis (PA) W 72-65 78%     4 - 6 -5.8 -4.4 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2023 84   @ Georgia L 82-94 10%     4 - 7 -2.7 +7.1 -8.6
  Dec 23, 2023 350   LIU Brooklyn W 87-59 87%     5 - 7 +11.5 +5.4 +5.1
  Dec 30, 2023 295   @ Delaware St. L 73-77 50%     5 - 8 -8.7 -2.3 -6.2
  Jan 05, 2024 284   Canisius W 74-69 66%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -3.9 -0.4 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2024 201   @ St. Peter's L 64-70 32%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -5.6 -2.8 -3.0
  Jan 14, 2024 239   @ Iona L 70-87 37%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -18.2 +2.6 -22.3
  Jan 19, 2024 233   Marist W 65-48 56%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +10.8 -1.4 +13.4
  Jan 21, 2024 272   Niagara L 71-82 64%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -19.4 -0.1 -20.3
  Jan 25, 2024 172   @ Quinnipiac L 65-79 26%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -12.0 -10.3 -1.0
  Jan 27, 2024 221   Rider L 62-66 54%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -9.6 -6.6 -3.4
  Feb 02, 2024 233   @ Marist W 76-58 36%     8 - 13 4 - 6 +17.0 +9.7 +7.8
  Feb 04, 2024 354   @ Siena W 68-61 78%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -5.5 -7.5 +2.1
  Feb 08, 2024 339   Manhattan W 82-78 83%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -10.9 -1.1 -10.0
  Feb 10, 2024 172   Quinnipiac W 96-79 45%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +13.8 +13.1 -0.8
  Feb 16, 2024 221   @ Rider L 57-61 34%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -4.4 -16.7 +12.3
  Feb 18, 2024 175   @ Fairfield L 80-94 27%     11 - 15 7 - 8 -12.2 +5.5 -17.6
  Feb 23, 2024 201   St. Peter's L 65-70 51%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -9.8 -1.2 -9.0
  Feb 25, 2024 239   Iona W 72-65 57%     12 - 16 8 - 9 +0.6 -3.7 +4.3
  Mar 01, 2024 284   @ Canisius L 56-61 47%     12 - 17 8 - 10 -8.7 -7.2 -2.4
  Mar 03, 2024 272   @ Niagara W 91-72 45%     13 - 17 9 - 10 +15.8 +10.9 +3.9
  Mar 09, 2024 175   Fairfield L 92-96 45%     13 - 18 9 - 11 -7.4 +7.9 -15.0
  Mar 12, 2024 284   Canisius L 61-77 57%     13 - 19 -22.3 -11.3 -11.6
Projected Record 13 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%