Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#215
Pace62.8#330
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#159
First Shot+0.4#170
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks-2.1#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#189
Freethrows+0.7#125
Improvement-2.7#314

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#188
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#105
Layups/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#285
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement+2.5#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 96 - 18
Quad 45 - 211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 78-72 90%     1 - 0 -8.1 +0.5 -8.5
  Nov 14, 2023 127   Western Kentucky L 81-86 51%     1 - 1 -5.0 +5.5 -10.2
  Nov 20, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington L 81-83 OT 41%     1 - 2 +0.5 +3.1 -2.5
  Nov 22, 2023 86   Appalachian St. L 57-67 27%     1 - 3 -3.3 -9.3 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2023 67   Bradley W 79-72 31%     2 - 3 +12.4 +16.1 -3.1
  Dec 03, 2023 182   @ Illinois St. L 72-76 45%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -2.4 +9.4 -12.2
  Dec 09, 2023 222   @ Austin Peay L 49-53 53%     2 - 5 -4.5 -17.2 +11.9
  Dec 13, 2023 30   @ Mississippi St. L 81-85 9%     2 - 6 +11.4 +21.4 -10.2
  Dec 16, 2023 310   SE Louisiana L 55-61 85%     2 - 7 -17.0 -7.4 -11.2
  Dec 18, 2023 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-80 47%     2 - 8 -13.1 -9.4 -3.2
  Dec 22, 2023 71   SMU L 65-92 32%     2 - 9 -22.0 -7.7 -13.1
  Dec 30, 2023 265   Middle Tennessee W 75-54 78%     3 - 9 +13.0 +1.7 +11.5
  Jan 02, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 85-73 69%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +7.1 +17.1 -9.4
  Jan 06, 2024 224   @ Evansville W 81-59 53%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +21.4 +11.5 +10.7
  Jan 10, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. W 77-53 37%     6 - 9 3 - 1 +27.7 +11.8 +17.2
  Jan 14, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 60-70 47%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -8.9 -9.5 +0.1
  Jan 17, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 73-58 50%     7 - 10 4 - 2 +15.2 +8.0 +8.3
  Jan 21, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 63-72 22%     7 - 11 4 - 3 -0.8 -7.3 +6.4
  Jan 24, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 63-71 17%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +2.6 +1.8 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2024 125   Southern Illinois L 58-60 50%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -1.9 -8.3 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2024 182   Illinois St. L 59-61 64%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -5.6 -0.5 -5.6
  Feb 03, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa W 71-43 28%     8 - 14 5 - 6 +34.3 +15.9 +24.2
  Feb 07, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 64-69 29%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +1.1 -4.3 +5.3
  Feb 10, 2024 224   Evansville W 73-70 72%     9 - 15 6 - 7 -2.8 +4.9 -7.5
  Feb 14, 2024 149   Missouri St. W 82-72 57%     10 - 15 7 - 7 +8.5 +13.3 -4.4
  Feb 18, 2024 53   @ Drake L 72-95 13%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -10.4 +8.6 -20.5
  Feb 21, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois L 68-72 31%     10 - 17 7 - 9 +1.3 +3.1 -2.1
  Feb 24, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 80-68 84%     11 - 17 8 - 9 +1.7 +10.3 -7.3
  Feb 28, 2024 114   Belmont L 61-83 47%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -21.1 -7.0 -15.7
  Mar 03, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 77-89 11%     11 - 19 8 - 11 +1.4 +11.9 -11.0
  Mar 07, 2024 149   Missouri St. L 35-60 47%     11 - 20 -23.9 -29.0 +0.4
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%