Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#24
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#37
Pace80.1#8
Improvement+0.3#166

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#36
First Shot+5.2#50
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#85
Layup/Dunks+8.4#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#272
Freethrows+0.8#118
Improvement+0.3#161

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#26
First Shot+5.2#30
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#79
Layups/Dunks+3.7#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#19
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#108
Freethrows-3.1#338
Improvement+0.0#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 18.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round56.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 15 - 6
Quad 23 - 18 - 7
Quad 37 - 115 - 8
Quad 410 - 125 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 92-55 97%     1 - 0 +28.3 +8.6 +16.4
  Nov 09, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's L 58-72 39%     1 - 1 +2.1 -3.5 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2023 112   Texas Arlington W 82-80 87%     2 - 1 +3.0 +4.6 -1.7
  Nov 21, 2023 140   Toledo W 92-84 86%     3 - 1 +9.7 +2.8 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2023 218   Rice W 90-56 92%     4 - 1 +31.1 +8.7 +20.6
  Nov 24, 2023 196   Pepperdine W 90-71 91%     5 - 1 +17.0 +6.8 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2023 103   Louisiana Tech W 74-65 84%     6 - 1 +11.5 +3.3 +8.2
  Dec 02, 2023 280   New Mexico St. W 106-62 97%     7 - 1 +35.4 +31.9 +4.3
  Dec 06, 2023 198   UC Santa Barbara W 84-61 94%     8 - 1 +18.3 +0.9 +15.7
  Dec 09, 2023 107   Santa Clara W 93-76 79%     9 - 1 +21.6 +9.7 +9.6
  Dec 15, 2023 280   @ New Mexico St. W 73-72 93%     10 - 1 -2.4 -3.4 +1.0
  Dec 20, 2023 77   UC Irvine W 78-65 79%     11 - 1 +17.5 +4.1 +12.6
  Jan 02, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. L 68-76 50%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +5.2 +1.4 +3.7
  Jan 06, 2024 151   Wyoming W 77-60 91%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +15.5 +0.1 +15.0
  Jan 09, 2024 73   @ UNLV L 73-83 62%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +0.1 +3.6 -3.3
  Jan 13, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 88-70 61%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +28.3 +12.7 +13.7
  Jan 16, 2024 52   Utah St. W 99-86 71%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +20.5 +17.5 +1.6
  Jan 20, 2024 244   @ Air Force W 85-66 91%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +17.5 +7.4 +9.8
  Jan 24, 2024 231   @ San Jose St. W 95-75 90%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +19.1 +17.7 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2024 41   Nevada W 89-55 67%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +42.7 +22.1 +21.6
  Jan 31, 2024 45   Boise St. L 78-86 68%     17 - 4 6 - 3 +0.2 +7.9 -7.5
  Feb 06, 2024 151   @ Wyoming W 91-73 81%     18 - 4 7 - 3 +21.7 +9.4 +10.5
  Feb 10, 2024 73   UNLV L 77-80 78%     18 - 5 7 - 4 +1.9 +4.6 -2.7
  Feb 13, 2024 41   @ Nevada W 83-82 47%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +14.9 +20.8 -5.9
  Feb 16, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 70-81 41%     19 - 6 8 - 5 +4.5 +1.4 +3.9
  Feb 21, 2024 48   Colorado St. W 68-66 69%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +10.0 -2.6 +12.5
  Feb 24, 2024 244   Air Force L 77-78 96%     20 - 7 9 - 6 -7.7 +3.6 -11.3
  Mar 02, 2024 45   @ Boise St. L 79-89 49%     20 - 8 9 - 7 +3.4 +10.8 -7.1
  Mar 06, 2024 213   Fresno St. W 79-58 95%     21 - 8 10 - 7 +15.7 +2.4 +13.0
  Mar 09, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 85-87 52%     21 - 9 10 - 8 +10.7 +13.0 -2.2
  Mar 13, 2024 244   Air Force W 82-56 94%     22 - 9 +21.9 +8.8 +14.4
  Mar 14, 2024 45   Boise St. W 76-66 59%     23 - 9 +20.8 +6.1 +14.4
  Mar 15, 2024 48   Colorado St. W 74-61 60%     24 - 9 +23.6 +8.2 +15.8
  Mar 16, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 68-61 51%     25 - 9 +19.9 +10.3 +10.3
  Mar 22, 2024 36   Clemson W 79-78 55%    
Projected Record 26 - 9 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 7.8 0.0 2.0 16.0 22.0 30.9 21.9 6.9 0.3
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 7.8 0.0 2.0 16.0 22.0 30.9 21.9 6.9 0.3