Pre-tourney Rankings
North Texas
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#110
Pace57.1#360
Improvement-1.6#261

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#40
Layup/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#122
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+0.8#136

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#39
First Shot+6.8#16
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#320
Layups/Dunks+6.6#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#70
Freethrows-0.9#247
Improvement-2.4#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 41 - 10
Quad 310 - 311 - 13
Quad 45 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 111   Northern Iowa W 83-77 OT 72%     1 - 0 +7.1 +8.8 -1.8
  Nov 11, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha W 75-64 91%     2 - 0 +3.3 +13.3 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2023 25   St. John's L 52-53 28%     2 - 1 +12.1 -11.3 +23.2
  Nov 17, 2023 87   LSU L 62-66 52%     2 - 2 +2.6 -0.3 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2023 150   Towson W 65-39 72%     3 - 2 +27.1 +5.7 +25.6
  Dec 02, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 79-48 99%     4 - 2 +7.5 +13.4 +0.3
  Dec 05, 2023 45   @ Boise St. L 64-69 27%     4 - 3 +8.4 -2.9 +11.4
  Dec 10, 2023 185   Fordham L 59-60 78%     4 - 4 -2.1 -7.4 +5.2
  Dec 17, 2023 30   Mississippi St. L 54-72 29%     4 - 5 -5.2 -1.6 -6.9
  Dec 23, 2023 112   Texas Arlington W 78-52 72%     5 - 5 +27.0 +16.6 +14.1
  Jan 04, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. W 74-62 62%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +16.0 +8.5 +8.1
  Jan 06, 2024 132   Tulane W 70-56 76%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +13.7 +3.6 +11.9
  Jan 13, 2024 178   Temple W 69-51 84%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +14.5 +11.5 +7.0
  Jan 17, 2024 177   @ East Carolina W 60-59 70%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +2.7 -0.9 +3.8
  Jan 20, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 44-56 54%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -6.1 -13.2 +3.6
  Jan 25, 2024 71   SMU W 68-66 58%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +7.0 +6.1 +1.1
  Jan 28, 2024 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-66 26%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +10.8 +4.2 +6.1
  Jan 31, 2024 99   UAB L 79-82 OT 67%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -0.4 +4.5 -4.9
  Feb 03, 2024 89   South Florida L 55-60 62%     10 - 9 5 - 4 -1.2 -5.2 +3.0
  Feb 07, 2024 190   @ Tulsa W 68-55 72%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +14.1 +2.8 +12.5
  Feb 11, 2024 71   @ SMU L 68-71 38%     11 - 10 6 - 5 +7.2 +12.3 -5.6
  Feb 15, 2024 70   Memphis W 76-66 58%     12 - 10 7 - 5 +15.1 +10.8 +5.1
  Feb 18, 2024 99   @ UAB L 62-71 47%     12 - 11 7 - 6 -1.2 -6.2 +4.5
  Feb 24, 2024 241   Texas San Antonio L 62-64 89%     12 - 12 7 - 7 -8.6 -11.4 +2.6
  Feb 28, 2024 132   @ Tulane W 80-76 58%     13 - 12 8 - 7 +8.9 +3.6 +5.1
  Mar 03, 2024 177   East Carolina W 84-69 84%     14 - 12 9 - 7 +11.5 +26.7 -12.1
  Mar 06, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic L 76-80 44%     14 - 13 9 - 8 +4.6 +5.9 -1.4
  Mar 09, 2024 218   @ Rice W 71-55 76%     15 - 13 10 - 8 +15.7 +7.1 +11.2
  Mar 14, 2024 132   Tulane W 81-71 68%     16 - 13 +12.3 +8.0 +4.4
  Mar 15, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic L 71-77 34%     16 - 14 +5.2 +4.3 +0.5
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%