Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#206
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#202
Pace73.1#59
Improvement+2.2#91

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
First Shot+2.3#117
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#196
Layup/Dunks+0.4#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#86
Freethrows-2.7#338
Improvement+2.2#64

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#310
First Shot-5.7#344
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#73
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#344
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 414 - 617 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2023 48   Colorado St. L 64-83 17%     0 - 1 -11.0 -7.8 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2023 280   @ New Mexico St. L 71-76 54%     0 - 2 -8.4 -8.9 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2023 297   Chicago St. W 78-77 OT 69%     1 - 2 -6.4 -0.3 -6.2
  Nov 22, 2023 238   Radford L 68-79 55%     1 - 3 -14.8 -8.9 -5.9
  Nov 29, 2023 257   @ San Diego L 72-74 50%     1 - 4 -4.4 -4.5 +0.2
  Dec 02, 2023 229   Cal St. Northridge W 75-71 64%     2 - 4 -2.0 -9.4 +6.8
  Dec 11, 2023 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 99-101 2OT 73%     2 - 5 -10.9 +6.1 -16.6
  Dec 15, 2023 29   @ Colorado L 68-90 6%     2 - 6 -6.6 -4.6 +0.0
  Dec 21, 2023 244   @ Air Force W 83-79 47%     3 - 6 +2.5 +11.7 -9.0
  Dec 30, 2023 311   Northern Arizona W 92-77 80%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +3.9 +19.1 -14.3
  Jan 03, 2024 232   @ North Dakota W 97-87 44%     5 - 6 +9.1 +22.6 -13.5
  Jan 06, 2024 276   Denver W 86-82 72%     6 - 6 -4.4 -0.9 -3.8
  Jan 11, 2024 158   @ Montana W 98-92 OT 31%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +8.9 +9.9 -1.8
  Jan 13, 2024 214   @ Montana St. L 81-90 42%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -9.2 +2.2 -10.6
  Jan 18, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 77-75 78%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -8.5 +10.7 -18.9
  Jan 20, 2024 253   Portland St. W 90-61 69%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +21.6 +14.3 +6.7
  Jan 25, 2024 152   @ Eastern Washington L 74-77 29%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +0.5 -2.3 +2.8
  Jan 27, 2024 320   @ Idaho W 89-68 66%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +14.3 +19.8 -4.0
  Feb 01, 2024 254   Idaho St. W 91-86 2OT 69%     11 - 8 6 - 2 -2.6 +3.3 -6.5
  Feb 03, 2024 162   Weber St. L 63-82 50%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -21.4 -14.1 -6.7
  Feb 08, 2024 214   Montana St. W 73-70 62%     12 - 9 7 - 3 -2.4 -2.0 -0.3
  Feb 10, 2024 158   Montana W 87-71 50%     13 - 9 8 - 3 +13.7 +11.4 +2.7
  Feb 15, 2024 253   @ Portland St. L 72-82 OT 49%     13 - 10 8 - 4 -12.2 -5.0 -6.5
  Feb 17, 2024 302   @ Sacramento St. W 80-75 61%     14 - 10 9 - 4 -0.3 +12.1 -11.9
  Feb 22, 2024 320   Idaho W 76-62 82%     15 - 10 10 - 4 +2.1 +4.4 -1.1
  Feb 24, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 76-85 47%     15 - 11 10 - 5 -10.7 -2.4 -8.2
  Feb 29, 2024 162   @ Weber St. L 81-85 OT 31%     15 - 12 10 - 6 -1.2 +0.1 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2024 254   @ Idaho St. W 81-79 50%     16 - 12 11 - 6 -0.4 +6.1 -6.5
  Mar 04, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona W 82-74 63%     17 - 12 12 - 6 +2.1 +8.7 -6.4
  Mar 10, 2024 254   Idaho St. L 76-83 60%     17 - 13 -12.0 -1.8 -10.1
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%