Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#137
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#118
Pace63.6#312
Improvement-0.7#219

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#147
First Shot+1.4#143
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#192
Layup/Dunks-1.4#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#225
Freethrows+2.4#48
Improvement+2.1#73

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#148
First Shot+3.1#76
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#340
Layups/Dunks-0.1#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#245
Freethrows-0.1#203
Improvement-2.8#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 71 - 9
Quad 23 - 74 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 131   Troy W 81-80 2OT 58%     1 - 0 +0.9 -9.4 +10.1
  Nov 14, 2023 86   Appalachian St. W 81-71 OT 42%     2 - 0 +14.1 +8.9 +4.7
  Nov 18, 2023 27   Nebraska L 63-84 15%     2 - 1 -8.0 +0.9 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2023 14   Baylor L 72-88 11%     2 - 2 -0.7 +1.4 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2023 33   Pittsburgh L 51-76 18%     2 - 3 -13.2 -14.6 +0.2
  Nov 30, 2023 165   UC Davis W 71-59 67%     3 - 3 +9.3 -2.4 +11.5
  Dec 04, 2023 329   Cal Poly W 70-63 2OT 92%     4 - 3 -6.9 -14.6 +7.0
  Dec 09, 2023 169   Utah Valley W 74-71 68%     5 - 3 +0.2 +8.5 -8.2
  Dec 17, 2023 241   Texas San Antonio W 66-65 79%     6 - 3 -5.6 -7.7 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 76-57 82%     7 - 3 +11.4 +9.0 +4.9
  Dec 28, 2023 93   UCLA L 62-69 44%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -3.4 +0.2 -4.5
  Dec 30, 2023 76   USC W 86-70 40%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +20.7 +14.4 +6.0
  Jan 04, 2024 39   @ Washington St. L 58-65 13%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +7.0 +0.4 +5.6
  Jan 06, 2024 65   @ Washington L 72-79 19%     8 - 6 1 - 3 +4.4 +10.7 -7.1
  Jan 11, 2024 98   Stanford L 84-88 OT 47%     8 - 7 1 - 4 -1.2 +1.2 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2024 47   @ Utah L 47-74 14%     8 - 8 1 - 5 -13.7 -13.2 -4.0
  Jan 20, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 57-90 11%     8 - 9 1 - 6 -17.6 -9.9 -7.4
  Jan 25, 2024 5   Arizona W 83-80 9%     9 - 9 2 - 6 +19.9 +20.2 -0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 118   Arizona St. W 84-71 55%     10 - 9 3 - 6 +13.6 +7.4 +5.2
  Feb 01, 2024 93   @ UCLA L 63-71 26%     10 - 10 3 - 7 +0.8 +3.9 -4.0
  Feb 03, 2024 76   @ USC L 54-82 23%     10 - 11 3 - 8 -18.2 -6.5 -15.3
  Feb 08, 2024 39   Washington St. L 58-64 26%     10 - 12 3 - 9 +2.8 -3.3 +5.4
  Feb 10, 2024 65   Washington L 55-67 34%     10 - 13 3 - 10 -5.8 -11.1 +4.1
  Feb 14, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. L 61-79 35%     10 - 14 3 - 11 -12.2 -3.8 -9.2
  Feb 17, 2024 54   Oregon L 58-60 31%     10 - 15 3 - 12 +5.1 -1.3 +6.1
  Feb 22, 2024 113   @ California L 73-81 34%     10 - 16 3 - 13 -1.8 +7.6 -9.8
  Feb 24, 2024 98   @ Stanford W 85-73 28%     11 - 16 4 - 13 +20.0 +14.7 +5.2
  Feb 28, 2024 54   @ Oregon L 71-78 16%     11 - 17 4 - 14 +5.3 +5.0 +0.2
  Mar 07, 2024 47   Utah W 92-85 28%     12 - 17 5 - 14 +15.1 +14.4 +0.0
  Mar 09, 2024 29   Colorado L 57-73 22%     12 - 18 5 - 15 -5.8 -1.7 -7.0
  Mar 13, 2024 93   UCLA L 57-67 34%     12 - 19 -3.8 +3.0 -9.3
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%