Pre-tourney Rankings
Rice
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#218
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#241
Pace65.5#266
Improvement+0.5#150

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#153
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#99
Layup/Dunks-0.4#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement+2.1#74

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#288
First Shot-4.1#311
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#147
Layups/Dunks+0.0#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#338
Freethrows+2.8#24
Improvement-1.5#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 31 - 83 - 17
Quad 47 - 410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 235   Harvard L 76-89 63%     0 - 1 -19.3 +0.4 -19.5
  Nov 15, 2023 23   @ Texas L 64-80 5%     0 - 2 -0.2 -1.9 +1.3
  Nov 21, 2023 46   Indiana St. L 88-103 10%     0 - 3 -4.2 +6.7 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2023 24   New Mexico L 56-90 8%     0 - 4 -20.9 -13.3 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2023 77   UC Irvine L 68-83 17%     0 - 5 -7.9 -2.5 -4.9
  Nov 30, 2023 215   Tennessee Martin W 98-78 60%     1 - 5 +14.5 +9.6 +2.6
  Dec 02, 2023 357   Houston Christian W 65-56 92%     2 - 5 -9.7 -21.8 +11.7
  Dec 06, 2023 2   @ Houston L 39-75 2%     2 - 6 -12.4 -16.5 +0.5
  Dec 13, 2023 351   Incarnate Word W 80-57 89%     3 - 6 +6.4 +2.4 +5.0
  Dec 16, 2023 325   @ Northwestern St. W 76-51 68%     4 - 6 +17.2 +7.4 +12.1
  Dec 20, 2023 342   Prairie View W 82-56 88%     5 - 6 +10.3 +3.7 +6.7
  Dec 22, 2023 153   Louisiana L 67-84 46%     5 - 7 -18.9 +0.3 -20.7
  Jan 03, 2024 132   @ Tulane L 59-84 23%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -20.1 -10.4 -11.0
  Jan 06, 2024 241   Texas San Antonio L 82-89 OT 64%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -13.6 -4.3 -8.7
  Jan 12, 2024 89   @ South Florida L 73-81 13%     5 - 10 0 - 3 +1.0 +3.2 -2.0
  Jan 16, 2024 116   Charlotte L 79-81 OT 36%     5 - 11 0 - 4 -1.3 +14.1 -15.5
  Jan 20, 2024 178   @ Temple W 69-66 33%     6 - 11 1 - 4 +4.7 -0.5 +5.2
  Jan 24, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic L 56-69 14%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -4.4 -12.2 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2024 190   Tulsa L 83-85 54%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -6.1 +3.4 -9.4
  Jan 31, 2024 70   @ Memphis W 74-71 11%     7 - 13 2 - 6 +13.2 +5.4 +7.8
  Feb 03, 2024 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 80-76 44%     8 - 13 3 - 6 +2.6 +5.8 -3.1
  Feb 07, 2024 71   SMU L 69-95 22%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -21.0 +4.0 -26.8
  Feb 10, 2024 89   South Florida L 65-69 26%     8 - 15 3 - 8 -0.2 +1.6 -2.2
  Feb 17, 2024 190   @ Tulsa L 82-93 OT 35%     8 - 16 3 - 9 -9.9 +4.7 -13.7
  Feb 21, 2024 99   @ UAB W 94-71 16%     9 - 16 4 - 9 +30.8 +31.1 +1.9
  Feb 24, 2024 177   East Carolina W 70-52 52%     10 - 16 5 - 9 +14.5 +5.2 +11.8
  Feb 28, 2024 178   Temple L 43-65 52%     10 - 17 5 - 10 -25.5 -21.6 -8.1
  Mar 02, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. L 66-87 25%     10 - 18 5 - 11 -17.0 -1.0 -16.9
  Mar 06, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 64-69 20%     10 - 19 5 - 12 +0.9 -1.6 +2.2
  Mar 09, 2024 78   North Texas L 55-71 24%     10 - 20 5 - 13 -11.5 -5.4 -8.7
  Mar 13, 2024 145   Wichita St. L 81-88 34%     10 - 21 5 - 14 -5.6 +19.4 -25.8
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%