Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#71
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#103
Pace68.3#176
Improvement-5.9#352

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#90
First Shot+1.0#153
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#34
Layup/Dunks+4.3#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#180
Freethrows-3.1#349
Improvement-0.8#226

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#66
First Shot+5.8#25
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#312
Layups/Dunks+4.1#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#159
Freethrows-0.4#217
Improvement-5.2#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 9
Quad 39 - 210 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 279   Western Illinois W 90-53 93%     1 - 0 +28.5 +8.1 +17.2
  Nov 09, 2023 226   Lamar W 78-67 89%     2 - 0 +5.1 +0.2 +4.6
  Nov 14, 2023 42   Texas A&M L 66-79 46%     2 - 1 -4.3 -4.1 -0.1
  Nov 20, 2023 129   West Virginia W 70-58 69%     3 - 1 +14.5 +2.5 +12.9
  Nov 22, 2023 19   Wisconsin L 61-69 27%     3 - 2 +6.0 +2.0 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2023 291   Louisiana Monroe W 70-57 94%     4 - 2 +3.4 +2.7 +2.5
  Nov 29, 2023 44   Dayton L 63-65 48%     4 - 3 +6.3 +0.1 +5.9
  Dec 03, 2023 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 90-47 97%     5 - 3 +28.9 +19.7 +12.9
  Dec 06, 2023 118   @ Arizona St. L 74-76 57%     5 - 4 +3.8 +1.1 +2.9
  Dec 16, 2023 79   @ Florida St. W 68-57 42%     6 - 4 +20.6 +4.8 +16.5
  Dec 19, 2023 357   Houston Christian W 89-53 98%     7 - 4 +17.3 +4.4 +12.6
  Dec 22, 2023 161   @ Murray St. W 92-65 68%     8 - 4 +29.8 +16.3 +12.4
  Jan 02, 2024 116   Charlotte W 66-54 75%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +12.7 +1.5 +12.7
  Jan 07, 2024 70   @ Memphis L 59-62 40%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +7.2 -10.8 +18.0
  Jan 13, 2024 177   @ East Carolina W 75-64 72%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +12.7 +6.1 +7.0
  Jan 16, 2024 178   Temple W 77-64 85%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +9.5 +10.4 +0.1
  Jan 20, 2024 190   Tulsa W 103-70 86%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +28.9 +17.2 +7.9
  Jan 25, 2024 78   @ North Texas L 66-68 42%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +7.7 +7.4 +0.0
  Jan 28, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. L 72-77 64%     12 - 7 4 - 3 -1.0 +4.7 -5.9
  Feb 01, 2024 132   Tulane W 80-76 78%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +3.7 +1.5 +2.1
  Feb 04, 2024 99   UAB W 72-69 69%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +5.6 +3.7 +2.2
  Feb 07, 2024 218   @ Rice W 95-69 78%     15 - 7 7 - 3 +25.7 +26.6 +0.9
  Feb 11, 2024 78   North Texas W 71-68 62%     16 - 7 8 - 3 +7.5 +14.1 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2024 132   @ Tulane W 87-79 61%     17 - 7 9 - 3 +12.9 +8.8 +3.6
  Feb 18, 2024 70   Memphis W 106-79 60%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +32.1 +24.5 +5.0
  Feb 22, 2024 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 70-80 28%     18 - 8 10 - 4 +3.8 +2.8 +0.7
  Feb 25, 2024 89   @ South Florida L 68-79 45%     18 - 9 10 - 5 -2.0 +2.4 -4.8
  Mar 02, 2024 241   Texas San Antonio L 73-77 90%     18 - 10 10 - 6 -10.6 -6.8 -3.8
  Mar 06, 2024 177   East Carolina W 80-77 OT 85%     19 - 10 11 - 6 -0.5 +0.2 -0.8
  Mar 10, 2024 99   @ UAB L 70-74 49%     19 - 11 11 - 7 +3.8 -1.6 +5.4
  Mar 14, 2024 178   Temple L 60-75 79%     19 - 12 -15.9 -7.5 -9.5
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%