Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#139
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#154
Pace69.3#143
Improvement+3.1#60

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#141
First Shot+2.2#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#233
Layup/Dunks+1.5#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#76
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement-0.8#225

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#164
First Shot+0.2#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#177
Layups/Dunks+4.3#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#353
Freethrows+2.0#50
Improvement+3.9#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 37 - 47 - 7
Quad 412 - 519 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 123   Akron L 75-81 56%     0 - 1 -5.7 +4.7 -10.5
  Nov 13, 2023 62   @ Kansas St. L 68-91 18%     0 - 2 -11.4 +0.2 -10.4
  Nov 19, 2023 55   Central Florida L 80-83 23%     0 - 3 +6.6 +13.8 -7.2
  Nov 20, 2023 101   George Mason L 71-73 37%     0 - 4 +3.1 +7.8 -4.9
  Nov 22, 2023 230   @ Southern Miss W 65-54 60%     1 - 4 +10.1 -0.2 +11.4
  Dec 01, 2023 150   Towson W 61-48 52%     2 - 4 +14.1 +3.7 +13.0
  Dec 05, 2023 173   Kent St. L 73-82 68%     2 - 5 -12.2 -4.9 -6.9
  Dec 09, 2023 145   Wichita St. W 79-69 51%     3 - 5 +11.4 +3.6 +7.2
  Dec 20, 2023 151   Wyoming L 65-78 52%     3 - 6 -11.9 -13.3 +2.3
  Dec 21, 2023 245   Norfolk St. L 65-84 71%     3 - 7 -23.1 -9.9 -13.2
  Dec 31, 2023 232   North Dakota W 80-61 77%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +12.9 +4.3 +8.9
  Jan 03, 2024 162   @ Weber St. L 73-75 46%     4 - 8 +0.8 +7.4 -6.7
  Jan 06, 2024 214   Montana St. W 89-61 75%     5 - 8 +22.6 +11.0 +10.7
  Jan 11, 2024 157   @ St. Thomas W 81-80 45%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +3.9 +10.7 -6.8
  Jan 13, 2024 276   @ Denver L 80-99 68%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -22.2 -1.0 -20.5
  Jan 18, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha W 90-87 81%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -4.7 +12.2 -16.9
  Jan 20, 2024 322   @ South Dakota W 73-55 79%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +11.1 -4.9 +16.3
  Jan 25, 2024 217   UMKC W 75-66 76%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +3.5 +2.5 +1.1
  Jan 27, 2024 274   @ Oral Roberts L 82-87 68%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -8.2 +8.1 -16.4
  Feb 01, 2024 266   North Dakota St. L 73-74 OT 82%     9 - 11 5 - 3 -9.1 -14.2 +5.2
  Feb 04, 2024 322   South Dakota W 70-67 90%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -9.0 -7.3 -1.6
  Feb 10, 2024 274   Oral Roberts W 83-72 83%     11 - 11 7 - 3 +2.6 +7.9 -4.9
  Feb 15, 2024 217   @ UMKC L 67-72 58%     11 - 12 7 - 4 -5.3 -1.3 -4.2
  Feb 17, 2024 261   @ Nebraska Omaha W 85-77 OT 66%     12 - 12 8 - 4 +5.5 +0.9 +3.7
  Feb 22, 2024 276   Denver W 97-70 83%     13 - 12 9 - 4 +18.6 +12.4 +5.0
  Feb 24, 2024 157   St. Thomas W 77-72 65%     14 - 12 10 - 4 +2.7 +7.0 -4.0
  Feb 29, 2024 232   @ North Dakota W 72-62 60%     15 - 12 11 - 4 +9.1 +7.7 +2.8
  Mar 02, 2024 266   @ North Dakota St. W 78-61 67%     16 - 12 12 - 4 +14.1 +11.6 +4.4
  Mar 09, 2024 274   Oral Roberts W 79-63 76%     17 - 12 +10.2 +11.4 +0.7
  Mar 11, 2024 157   St. Thomas W 59-49 56%     18 - 12 +10.3 -3.8 +15.9
  Mar 12, 2024 276   Denver W 76-68 77%     19 - 12 +2.2 -3.8 +5.9
  Mar 21, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 61-77 7%    
Projected Record 19 - 13 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.5 24.2 74.6 0.8
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.5 24.2 74.6 0.8