Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#89
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#71
Pace69.4#140
Improvement+4.1#37

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#98
First Shot+1.7#135
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#95
Layup/Dunks-0.1#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
Freethrows+1.1#96
Improvement+3.6#33

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#82
First Shot+2.5#101
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#90
Layups/Dunks-1.2#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows+1.6#66
Improvement+0.5#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 26 - 36 - 3
Quad 38 - 214 - 5
Quad 410 - 224 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 304   South Carolina St. W 96-52 93%     1 - 0 +33.4 +12.0 +18.1
  Nov 15, 2023 271   Central Michigan L 63-68 91%     1 - 1 -13.3 -11.4 -1.8
  Nov 19, 2023 111   Northern Iowa W 74-65 70%     2 - 1 +10.1 +4.6 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2023 243   Maine L 59-70 89%     2 - 2 -17.7 -12.4 -5.4
  Nov 30, 2023 122   @ Hofstra L 63-82 54%     2 - 3 -13.5 -4.9 -9.1
  Dec 02, 2023 97   @ Massachusetts L 56-66 42%     2 - 4 -1.6 -17.6 +16.7
  Dec 09, 2023 79   Florida St. W 88-72 48%     3 - 4 +23.0 +8.9 +12.3
  Dec 12, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 104-86 97%     4 - 4 +2.6 +16.0 -14.2
  Dec 16, 2023 92   Loyola Chicago W 77-64 61%     5 - 4 +16.7 +12.7 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2023 252   Albany W 89-73 90%     6 - 4 +8.7 +4.9 +2.7
  Dec 29, 2023 323   Alabama St. W 73-70 95%     7 - 4 -9.6 +7.6 -16.9
  Jan 04, 2024 178   Temple W 76-68 82%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +4.5 -0.5 +4.6
  Jan 07, 2024 99   @ UAB L 71-75 44%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +3.8 -1.0 +4.8
  Jan 12, 2024 218   Rice W 81-73 87%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +2.5 +1.2 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2024 70   @ Memphis W 74-73 35%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +11.2 +9.2 +2.1
  Jan 21, 2024 145   Wichita St. W 72-68 77%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +2.8 +2.2 +0.7
  Jan 24, 2024 178   @ Temple W 75-69 68%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +7.7 +11.5 -3.3
  Jan 27, 2024 241   Texas San Antonio W 89-72 88%     13 - 5 6 - 1 +10.4 +18.6 -6.7
  Jan 31, 2024 177   @ East Carolina W 71-60 67%     14 - 5 7 - 1 +12.7 +1.3 +11.8
  Feb 03, 2024 78   @ North Texas W 60-55 38%     15 - 5 8 - 1 +14.7 +4.9 +10.7
  Feb 06, 2024 116   Charlotte W 72-69 71%     16 - 5 9 - 1 +3.7 +5.9 -1.9
  Feb 10, 2024 218   @ Rice W 69-65 74%     17 - 5 10 - 1 +3.7 +1.5 +2.6
  Feb 14, 2024 190   Tulsa W 69-50 84%     18 - 5 11 - 1 +14.9 +2.0 +14.8
  Feb 18, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic W 90-86 42%     19 - 5 12 - 1 +12.6 +15.8 -3.4
  Feb 21, 2024 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 66-61 77%     20 - 5 13 - 1 +3.6 -14.4 +17.6
  Feb 25, 2024 71   SMU W 79-68 55%     21 - 5 14 - 1 +16.0 +11.9 +4.6
  Mar 02, 2024 116   @ Charlotte W 76-61 52%     22 - 5 15 - 1 +20.9 +17.6 +5.7
  Mar 05, 2024 132   Tulane W 85-72 74%     23 - 5 16 - 1 +12.7 +5.3 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2024 190   @ Tulsa L 70-76 70%     23 - 6 16 - 2 -4.9 -6.3 +1.8
  Mar 15, 2024 177   East Carolina W 81-59 76%     24 - 6 +21.1 +12.3 +10.0
  Mar 16, 2024 99   UAB L 83-93 55%     24 - 7 -4.8 +11.4 -16.3
Projected Record 24 - 7 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%