Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#31
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#32
Pace73.5#53
Improvement-0.6#213

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#33
First Shot+4.4#63
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#41
Layup/Dunks+8.7#6
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#336
Freethrows+1.5#71
Improvement-2.1#295

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#30
First Shot+6.0#23
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#126
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement+1.5#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 6.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% n/a n/a
First Round83.4% n/a n/a
Second Round44.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 23 - 18 - 12
Quad 35 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 288   Southern W 108-75 97%     1 - 0 +23.8 +26.9 -5.4
  Nov 09, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha W 82-60 96%     2 - 0 +14.3 -3.2 +15.4
  Nov 14, 2023 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-55 98%     3 - 0 +19.1 +3.1 +13.5
  Nov 17, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 86-52 99.6%    4 - 0 +10.5 +5.1 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 93-74 97%     5 - 0 +8.5 -1.1 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2023 357   Houston Christian W 101-64 99%     6 - 0 +18.3 +3.2 +10.0
  Dec 02, 2023 176   @ Georgetown W 84-83 85%     7 - 0 +2.8 +7.6 -4.8
  Dec 09, 2023 36   Clemson L 66-74 54%     7 - 1 +3.7 -1.7 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2023 118   Arizona St. W 79-59 82%     8 - 1 +23.2 +5.5 +16.4
  Dec 21, 2023 289   Old Dominion W 111-87 95%     9 - 1 +17.3 +19.3 -5.7
  Dec 22, 2023 41   Nevada L 75-88 56%     9 - 2 -1.7 +10.0 -12.2
  Dec 24, 2023 159   @ Hawaii W 65-51 82%     10 - 2 +16.9 -5.0 +22.0
  Jan 01, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-42 98%     11 - 2 +20.9 -0.6 +21.7
  Jan 06, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 81-83 37%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +14.3 +17.1 -2.8
  Jan 10, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 80-71 65%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +17.9 +9.7 +7.9
  Jan 13, 2024 2   Houston W 68-67 29%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +19.4 +14.3 +5.2
  Jan 16, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati L 77-81 OT 43%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +10.4 +5.0 +5.8
  Jan 20, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 72-73 39%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +14.6 +11.3 +3.3
  Jan 23, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 74-69 70%     14 - 5 3 - 3 +12.2 +13.0 -0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 14   @ Baylor W 105-102 3OT 31%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +20.9 +14.5 +5.7
  Jan 30, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 85-78 59%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +17.4 +16.8 +0.7
  Feb 03, 2024 23   Texas L 66-77 58%     16 - 6 5 - 4 -0.4 +1.0 -2.2
  Feb 10, 2024 7   @ Iowa St. L 59-71 22%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +8.8 +9.8 -2.9
  Feb 12, 2024 129   West Virginia W 81-65 88%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +15.9 +3.4 +11.8
  Feb 17, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. W 75-72 54%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +14.6 +11.1 +3.5
  Feb 20, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech L 81-82 39%     18 - 8 7 - 6 +14.6 +10.6 +4.0
  Feb 24, 2024 34   Cincinnati W 75-57 63%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +27.2 +9.4 +18.1
  Feb 26, 2024 14   Baylor L 54-62 50%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +4.7 -11.7 +15.8
  Mar 02, 2024 17   @ BYU L 75-87 33%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +5.1 +6.3 -0.9
  Mar 06, 2024 129   @ West Virginia W 93-81 77%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +17.1 +17.1 -0.6
  Mar 09, 2024 55   Central Florida L 77-79 71%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +5.0 +11.0 -6.0
  Mar 13, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 77-70 55%     21 - 11 +18.5 +7.5 +10.7
  Mar 14, 2024 2   Houston L 45-60 22%     21 - 12 +6.0 -11.5 +16.1
  Mar 22, 2024 52   Utah St. W 80-77 60%    
Projected Record 22 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 84.7% 84.7% 8.2 1.2 5.2 15.3 26.0 25.5 10.6 0.9 15.3 84.7%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 84.7% 0.0% 84.7% 8.2 1.2 5.2 15.3 26.0 25.5 10.6 0.9 15.3 84.7%