Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas A&M - Commerce
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#332
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#320
Pace65.6#263
Improvement-2.3#285

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#341
First Shot-4.8#305
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#333
Layup/Dunks-1.7#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#135
Freethrows-2.1#310
Improvement-0.2#194

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#291
First Shot-4.4#321
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#127
Layups/Dunks-4.5#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#119
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement-2.1#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 11 - 7
Quad 30 - 41 - 11
Quad 49 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 42   @ Texas A&M L 46-78 2%     0 - 1 -18.1 -16.2 -5.2
  Nov 08, 2023 26   @ Texas Tech L 46-73 1%     0 - 2 -11.4 -22.9 +12.6
  Nov 10, 2023 16   @ Kentucky L 61-81 1%     0 - 3 -2.6 -4.8 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2023 164   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 64-86 10%     0 - 4 -19.5 -9.1 -9.5
  Nov 17, 2023 105   @ Saint Joseph's W 57-54 5%     1 - 4 +10.4 -11.0 +21.5
  Nov 20, 2023 358   Stonehill W 97-86 76%     2 - 4 -8.0 +9.3 -18.2
  Nov 26, 2023 276   Denver L 61-71 38%     2 - 5 -18.4 -19.4 +0.9
  Dec 03, 2023 71   @ SMU L 47-90 3%     2 - 6 -32.8 -16.4 -20.0
  Dec 11, 2023 206   Northern Colorado W 101-99 2OT 27%     3 - 6 -3.0 +4.6 -7.9
  Jan 01, 2024 31   @ TCU L 42-77 2%     3 - 7 -19.7 -23.4 +3.5
  Jan 06, 2024 75   McNeese St. L 67-73 7%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -1.3 -1.3 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2024 343   @ New Orleans L 85-88 46%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -13.6 -1.1 -12.2
  Jan 13, 2024 357   Houston Christian L 65-69 76%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -22.7 -16.4 -6.5
  Jan 20, 2024 310   @ SE Louisiana W 68-52 29%     4 - 10 1 - 3 +10.2 +2.0 +10.2
  Jan 22, 2024 226   @ Lamar L 65-76 16%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -11.7 -8.8 -2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 248   Nicholls St. L 84-87 2OT 33%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -9.9 -4.9 -4.6
  Jan 29, 2024 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 54-69 24%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -19.0 -15.1 -4.6
  Jan 31, 2024 351   Incarnate Word W 71-66 69%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -11.6 -6.0 -5.3
  Feb 03, 2024 325   @ Northwestern St. L 57-70 36%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -20.8 -13.8 -8.1
  Feb 05, 2024 75   @ McNeese St. L 51-77 3%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -16.1 -11.0 -8.3
  Feb 10, 2024 343   New Orleans W 89-83 66%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -9.8 +4.4 -14.3
  Feb 12, 2024 310   SE Louisiana L 77-79 OT 48%     6 - 16 3 - 9 -13.0 -8.9 -3.9
  Feb 17, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-86 12%     6 - 17 3 - 10 -21.8 +1.8 -26.6
  Feb 19, 2024 351   @ Incarnate Word W 76-72 OT 50%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -7.4 -12.3 +4.4
  Feb 24, 2024 248   @ Nicholls St. L 70-85 18%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -16.7 -1.2 -16.2
  Mar 02, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 98-85 58%     8 - 18 5 - 11 -0.5 +12.5 -13.6
  Mar 04, 2024 226   Lamar L 53-70 30%     8 - 19 5 - 12 -22.9 -19.2 -4.8
  Mar 06, 2024 325   Northwestern St. W 83-80 3OT 56%     9 - 19 6 - 12 -10.0 -13.9 +3.3
  Mar 10, 2024 325   Northwestern St. W 69-64 46%     10 - 19 -5.4 -0.8 -4.1
  Mar 11, 2024 248   Nicholls St. L 51-72 25%     10 - 20 -25.3 -21.8 -4.7
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%