Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#241
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#271
Pace74.9#38
Improvement+5.6#19

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#158
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#45
Layup/Dunks-4.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#58
Freethrows+0.7#127
Improvement+1.9#83

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#323
First Shot-4.2#315
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#234
Layups/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#256
Freethrows-1.0#257
Improvement+3.6#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 21 - 52 - 5
Quad 31 - 113 - 16
Quad 47 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 279   Western Illinois W 78-68 OT 67%     1 - 0 +1.5 -3.6 +4.1
  Nov 10, 2023 69   @ Minnesota L 76-102 10%     1 - 1 -15.7 +0.2 -13.9
  Nov 14, 2023 226   @ Lamar L 82-90 37%     1 - 2 -8.7 +0.6 -8.5
  Nov 17, 2023 187   @ Texas St. L 62-72 30%     1 - 3 -8.5 -5.7 -3.1
  Nov 20, 2023 357   @ Houston Christian W 89-87 82%     2 - 3 -11.5 -1.2 -10.5
  Nov 24, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. L 62-77 54%     2 - 4 -20.0 -7.9 -13.0
  Nov 25, 2023 351   Incarnate Word W 90-80 88%     3 - 4 -6.6 -3.2 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2023 226   Lamar W 86-83 57%     4 - 4 -2.9 +7.2 -10.3
  Dec 13, 2023 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 84-93 32%     4 - 5 -8.1 +5.3 -12.8
  Dec 17, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 65-66 21%     4 - 6 +3.5 -0.8 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2023 336   Army L 53-63 84%     4 - 7 -24.5 -19.3 -5.9
  Dec 28, 2023 342   Prairie View W 103-89 86%     5 - 7 -1.7 +14.7 -17.7
  Jan 02, 2024 99   UAB L 76-78 26%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +0.6 -3.6 +4.4
  Jan 06, 2024 218   @ Rice W 89-82 OT 36%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +6.7 +5.6 +0.4
  Jan 10, 2024 70   @ Memphis L 101-107 OT 10%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +4.2 +15.0 -9.8
  Jan 13, 2024 116   Charlotte L 58-66 32%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -7.3 -10.7 +2.8
  Jan 17, 2024 190   @ Tulsa L 78-107 31%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -27.9 +2.4 -28.7
  Jan 21, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic L 103-112 OT 12%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -0.4 +15.5 -14.5
  Jan 24, 2024 132   Tulane W 89-88 36%     7 - 12 2 - 5 +0.7 +7.9 -7.2
  Jan 27, 2024 89   @ South Florida L 72-89 12%     7 - 13 2 - 6 -8.0 +10.7 -20.3
  Feb 03, 2024 218   Rice L 76-80 56%     7 - 14 2 - 7 -9.5 +0.0 -9.6
  Feb 07, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. L 64-84 22%     7 - 15 2 - 8 -16.0 -8.1 -7.1
  Feb 10, 2024 177   East Carolina L 73-84 48%     7 - 16 2 - 9 -14.5 +4.3 -19.5
  Feb 15, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 70-79 17%     7 - 17 2 - 10 -3.1 +2.7 -6.1
  Feb 18, 2024 178   @ Temple L 77-83 29%     7 - 18 2 - 11 -4.3 +7.7 -12.1
  Feb 21, 2024 89   South Florida L 61-66 23%     7 - 19 2 - 12 -1.2 -13.6 +12.7
  Feb 24, 2024 78   @ North Texas W 64-62 11%     8 - 19 3 - 12 +11.7 +3.0 +8.8
  Feb 28, 2024 190   Tulsa W 89-73 50%     9 - 19 4 - 12 +11.9 +8.4 +2.3
  Mar 02, 2024 71   @ SMU W 77-73 10%     10 - 19 5 - 12 +14.2 +8.5 +5.7
  Mar 10, 2024 178   Temple L 82-84 48%     10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.5 +8.7 -14.2
  Mar 13, 2024 178   Temple L 61-64 38%     10 - 21 5 - 14 -3.9 -8.0 +3.9
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%