Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#26
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#17
Pace66.4#242
Improvement+3.3#53

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#21
First Shot+4.7#59
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#14
Layup/Dunks+0.6#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#90
Freethrows+2.3#49
Improvement+0.8#135

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#50
First Shot+4.8#37
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#205
Layups/Dunks+5.6#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows+3.7#14
Improvement+2.5#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 12.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.1% n/a n/a
Second Round69.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen30.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.2% n/a n/a
Final Four3.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 56 - 9
Quad 24 - 110 - 10
Quad 36 - 016 - 10
Quad 47 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-46 99%     1 - 0 +12.9 -8.1 +19.9
  Nov 12, 2023 231   San Jose St. W 56-42 95%     2 - 0 +7.9 -14.9 +24.6
  Nov 16, 2023 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-64 93%     3 - 0 +5.0 -0.7 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2023 35   Villanova L 69-85 55%     3 - 1 -4.2 +3.1 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2023 111   Northern Iowa W 72-70 81%     4 - 1 +5.7 +5.2 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2023 117   Michigan W 73-57 82%     5 - 1 +19.3 +10.3 +11.1
  Nov 30, 2023 63   @ Butler L 95-103 OT 55%     5 - 2 +3.6 +20.1 -15.9
  Dec 06, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha W 87-58 96%     6 - 2 +21.3 +14.6 +8.4
  Dec 12, 2023 274   Oral Roberts W 82-76 97%     7 - 2 -2.4 +9.2 -11.2
  Dec 16, 2023 167   Vanderbilt W 76-54 89%     8 - 2 +21.8 +11.9 +12.5
  Dec 21, 2023 112   Texas Arlington W 77-66 87%     9 - 2 +12.0 +1.1 +10.4
  Dec 28, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. W 96-60 90%     10 - 2 +35.2 +24.3 +11.1
  Jan 01, 2024 247   North Alabama W 85-57 96%     11 - 2 +21.2 +17.5 +7.2
  Jan 06, 2024 23   @ Texas W 78-67 39%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +26.8 +12.7 +14.4
  Jan 09, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 90-73 85%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +19.0 +23.5 -3.4
  Jan 13, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 60-59 74%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +7.4 +3.7 +3.9
  Jan 17, 2024 2   @ Houston L 54-77 16%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +0.6 +4.5 -8.1
  Jan 20, 2024 17   BYU W 85-78 54%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +19.0 +17.3 +1.8
  Jan 27, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma W 85-84 46%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +15.1 +19.0 -4.0
  Jan 30, 2024 31   @ TCU L 78-85 41%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +8.3 +13.6 -5.4
  Feb 03, 2024 34   Cincinnati L 72-75 64%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +6.2 +10.0 -4.0
  Feb 06, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 73-79 32%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +11.9 +8.4 +3.3
  Feb 10, 2024 55   Central Florida W 66-59 72%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +14.0 +6.1 +8.7
  Feb 12, 2024 20   Kansas W 79-50 57%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +40.1 +19.2 +23.0
  Feb 17, 2024 7   @ Iowa St. L 74-82 23%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +12.8 +12.8 +0.3
  Feb 20, 2024 31   TCU W 82-81 61%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +11.1 +10.3 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 55   @ Central Florida L 61-75 53%     19 - 8 8 - 6 -1.8 +0.3 -2.8
  Feb 27, 2024 23   Texas L 69-81 59%     19 - 9 8 - 7 -1.4 -0.6 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2024 129   @ West Virginia W 81-70 77%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +16.1 +12.9 +3.6
  Mar 05, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-58 71%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +24.2 +9.5 +15.6
  Mar 09, 2024 14   Baylor W 78-68 51%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +22.7 +9.7 +13.2
  Mar 14, 2024 17   BYU W 81-67 44%     23 - 9 +28.6 +10.7 +17.5
  Mar 15, 2024 2   Houston L 59-82 22%     23 - 10 -2.0 +2.9 -6.7
  Mar 21, 2024 56   North Carolina St. W 76-73 63%    
Projected Record 24 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 99.1% 99.1% 5.1 0.7 12.1 61.2 22.2 2.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 99.1%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.1% 0.0% 99.1% 5.1 0.7 12.1 61.2 22.2 2.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 99.1%