Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#99
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#80
Pace69.2#151
Improvement+6.1#13

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#54
First Shot+2.2#122
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#18
Layup/Dunks-0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#308
Freethrows+3.7#13
Improvement+4.3#18

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#179
First Shot-0.7#189
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks-1.2#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement+1.7#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 26 - 46 - 7
Quad 310 - 216 - 9
Quad 46 - 222 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 67   Bradley L 71-73 OT 50%     0 - 1 +3.4 -4.4 +7.9
  Nov 10, 2023 36   Clemson L 76-77 27%     0 - 2 +10.7 +6.1 +4.7
  Nov 12, 2023 60   Maryland W 66-63 35%     1 - 2 +12.3 +1.1 +11.1
  Nov 16, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 80-77 92%     2 - 2 -7.5 -9.9 +2.0
  Nov 21, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee W 58-57 78%     3 - 2 -1.8 -4.1 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2023 144   Furman W 92-86 73%     4 - 2 +4.8 +18.1 -13.2
  Nov 28, 2023 75   McNeese St. L 60-81 52%     4 - 3 -16.3 -7.4 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2023 230   Southern Miss L 82-85 85%     4 - 4 -9.1 +8.0 -17.1
  Dec 09, 2023 133   @ Arkansas St. L 68-87 51%     4 - 5 -14.1 -2.7 -12.4
  Dec 13, 2023 328   @ Alabama A&M W 93-82 90%     5 - 5 +2.4 +19.2 -16.9
  Dec 22, 2023 53   Drake W 79-78 OT 42%     6 - 5 +8.4 +12.5 -4.1
  Dec 29, 2023 166   UNC Asheville W 90-85 78%     7 - 5 +2.3 +16.0 -13.7
  Jan 02, 2024 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 78-76 74%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +0.6 -3.7 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2024 89   South Florida W 75-71 56%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +7.8 +4.0 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2024 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-86 21%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +0.8 +1.8 -0.6
  Jan 17, 2024 132   Tulane W 83-69 70%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +13.7 +1.0 +11.6
  Jan 20, 2024 177   East Carolina W 69-61 80%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +4.5 -2.8 +7.6
  Jan 23, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 70-76 47%     11 - 7 4 - 2 -0.1 +11.1 -12.2
  Jan 28, 2024 70   Memphis W 97-88 51%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +14.1 +11.2 +1.5
  Jan 31, 2024 78   @ North Texas W 82-79 OT 33%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +12.7 +15.3 -2.6
  Feb 04, 2024 71   @ SMU L 69-72 31%     13 - 8 6 - 3 +7.2 +7.3 -0.3
  Feb 08, 2024 43   Florida Atlantic W 76-73 OT 37%     14 - 8 7 - 3 +11.6 +2.1 +9.4
  Feb 11, 2024 190   @ Tulsa W 70-63 66%     15 - 8 8 - 3 +8.1 +1.1 +7.3
  Feb 18, 2024 78   North Texas W 71-62 53%     16 - 8 9 - 3 +13.5 +5.9 +8.1
  Feb 21, 2024 218   Rice L 71-94 84%     16 - 9 9 - 4 -28.5 -0.3 -30.4
  Feb 25, 2024 132   @ Tulane W 78-67 51%     17 - 9 10 - 4 +15.9 +5.1 +10.8
  Feb 28, 2024 145   Wichita St. L 66-74 73%     17 - 10 10 - 5 -9.2 -6.6 -2.6
  Mar 03, 2024 70   @ Memphis L 87-106 31%     17 - 11 10 - 6 -8.8 +11.7 -19.0
  Mar 07, 2024 178   @ Temple W 100-72 64%     18 - 11 11 - 6 +29.7 +30.0 -0.2
  Mar 10, 2024 71   SMU W 74-70 51%     19 - 11 12 - 6 +9.0 +4.1 +5.0
  Mar 15, 2024 145   Wichita St. W 72-60 65%     20 - 11 +13.4 +11.4 +3.7
  Mar 16, 2024 89   South Florida W 93-83 45%     21 - 11 +16.4 +25.1 -8.6
  Mar 17, 2024 178   Temple W 85-69 72%     22 - 11 +15.1 +10.9 +3.7
  Mar 22, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 68-76 23%    
Projected Record 22 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.7 0.3 33.7 62.9 3.2 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.3 33.7 62.9 3.2 0.0