Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#156
Pace67.6#208
Improvement+2.0#105

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#243
First Shot-3.9#286
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#80
Layup/Dunks-3.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#219
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement+1.5#102

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#111
First Shot+0.2#170
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#45
Layups/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 37 - 68 - 8
Quad 410 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 196   Pepperdine W 79-78 67%     1 - 0 -3.6 -0.8 -2.8
  Nov 12, 2023 158   @ Montana L 65-78 39%     1 - 1 -10.1 -4.9 -6.4
  Nov 14, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 68-53 70%     2 - 1 +9.5 +3.3 +8.8
  Nov 26, 2023 302   Sacramento St. L 63-69 83%     2 - 2 -16.5 -14.5 -1.9
  Nov 30, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 59-71 33%     2 - 3 -7.5 -13.1 +5.9
  Dec 06, 2023 41   @ Nevada L 68-80 10%     2 - 4 +1.9 +0.4 +1.6
  Dec 09, 2023 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-81 70%     2 - 5 -7.6 -2.3 -5.2
  Dec 16, 2023 353   @ Pacific W 82-61 87%     3 - 5 +8.6 +4.2 +4.7
  Dec 19, 2023 158   Montana L 61-73 59%     3 - 6 -14.3 -12.0 -3.3
  Dec 28, 2023 198   UC Santa Barbara W 76-62 67%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +9.3 -4.4 +13.0
  Dec 30, 2023 329   Cal Poly W 71-46 90%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +11.1 +3.8 +11.0
  Jan 04, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside W 83-63 48%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +20.4 +10.1 +10.3
  Jan 06, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 71-74 OT 18%     6 - 7 3 - 1 +6.7 -1.2 +8.1
  Jan 11, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge W 95-75 72%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +14.0 +17.1 -4.0
  Jan 13, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-71 OT 71%     8 - 7 5 - 1 +1.1 -0.3 +1.0
  Jan 18, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 67-65 52%     9 - 7 6 - 1 +1.3 -0.8 +2.2
  Jan 20, 2024 77   UC Irvine W 54-52 33%     10 - 7 7 - 1 +6.5 -14.7 +21.3
  Jan 27, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 59-92 48%     10 - 8 7 - 2 -32.5 -14.9 -18.5
  Feb 01, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara W 79-69 48%     11 - 8 8 - 2 +10.5 +5.8 +4.8
  Feb 03, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 59-52 79%     12 - 8 9 - 2 -1.7 -9.0 +8.1
  Feb 08, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-58 71%     13 - 8 10 - 2 +7.1 -3.8 +10.7
  Feb 10, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 70-87 39%     13 - 9 10 - 3 -14.1 -0.4 -13.8
  Feb 15, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 74-78 59%     13 - 10 10 - 4 -6.3 -2.2 -4.1
  Feb 17, 2024 202   UC Riverside L 61-67 68%     13 - 11 10 - 5 -10.8 -11.1 -0.1
  Feb 22, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge W 66-65 53%     14 - 11 11 - 5 +0.2 -3.2 +3.4
  Feb 24, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 56-75 52%     14 - 12 11 - 6 -19.7 -9.2 -12.8
  Feb 29, 2024 159   Hawaii W 75-63 59%     15 - 12 12 - 6 +9.7 +8.2 +2.5
  Mar 07, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego W 70-63 29%     16 - 12 13 - 6 +12.7 +7.0 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. W 88-78 39%     17 - 12 14 - 6 +12.9 +15.0 -2.2
  Mar 15, 2024 159   Hawaii W 68-65 49%     18 - 12 +3.3 +2.5 +1.1
  Mar 16, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 70-74 49%     18 - 13 -3.7 -2.6 -1.2
Projected Record 18 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%