Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#73
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#82
Pace63.4#318
Improvement+4.1#40

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#79
First Shot+4.5#60
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks+5.1#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-1.8#274

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#83
First Shot+4.7#40
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#290
Layups/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#31
Freethrows+1.5#81
Improvement+5.9#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 15 - 5
Quad 21 - 46 - 9
Quad 36 - 012 - 9
Quad 45 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 288   Southern L 71-85 93%     0 - 1 -23.2 -0.2 -23.5
  Nov 11, 2023 209   Stetson W 71-55 88%     1 - 1 +10.8 -0.9 +13.6
  Nov 17, 2023 196   @ Pepperdine W 82-68 74%     2 - 1 +14.6 +12.8 +2.6
  Nov 20, 2023 79   Florida St. L 75-83 52%     2 - 2 -1.0 +5.9 -6.9
  Nov 21, 2023 88   Richmond L 65-82 54%     2 - 3 -10.5 +3.8 -15.9
  Nov 28, 2023 123   Akron W 72-70 75%     3 - 3 +2.3 -0.3 +2.6
  Dec 09, 2023 180   Loyola Marymount L 75-78 85%     3 - 4 -6.5 -3.0 -3.5
  Dec 13, 2023 11   Creighton W 79-64 27%     4 - 4 +28.8 +23.5 +7.6
  Dec 16, 2023 21   St. Mary's L 67-69 2OT 28%     4 - 5 +11.5 -4.2 +15.9
  Dec 21, 2023 122   Hofstra W 74-56 75%     5 - 5 +18.3 +9.3 +10.9
  Jan 06, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 61-72 22%     5 - 6 0 - 1 +4.5 +0.2 +3.9
  Jan 09, 2024 24   New Mexico W 83-73 38%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +20.5 +13.9 +6.5
  Jan 13, 2024 52   Utah St. L 86-87 50%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +6.5 +17.2 -10.7
  Jan 16, 2024 45   @ Boise St. W 68-64 28%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +17.4 +10.6 +7.3
  Jan 19, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. L 75-78 29%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +10.2 +13.3 -3.3
  Jan 23, 2024 244   Air Force L 58-90 90%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -38.7 -15.7 -25.7
  Jan 27, 2024 231   @ San Jose St. W 77-65 79%     8 - 9 3 - 4 +11.1 +9.9 +2.5
  Jan 30, 2024 213   Fresno St. W 78-69 88%     9 - 9 4 - 4 +3.7 +0.3 +3.1
  Feb 03, 2024 151   Wyoming W 62-48 80%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +12.5 -0.5 +15.8
  Feb 10, 2024 24   @ New Mexico W 80-77 22%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +18.7 +13.2 +5.5
  Feb 14, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. W 67-65 76%     12 - 9 7 - 4 +1.9 +6.4 -4.1
  Feb 17, 2024 41   Nevada L 66-69 45%     12 - 10 7 - 5 +5.7 +2.0 +3.4
  Feb 21, 2024 244   @ Air Force W 72-43 80%     13 - 10 8 - 5 +27.5 +14.4 +20.5
  Feb 24, 2024 48   Colorado St. W 66-60 48%     14 - 10 9 - 5 +14.0 +3.6 +11.1
  Feb 27, 2024 151   @ Wyoming W 75-69 OT 64%     15 - 10 10 - 5 +9.7 +2.1 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2024 231   San Jose St. W 68-50 89%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +11.9 -10.4 +22.2
  Mar 05, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 62-58 39%     17 - 10 12 - 5 +14.3 +7.2 +7.8
  Mar 09, 2024 41   @ Nevada L 65-75 27%     17 - 11 12 - 6 +3.9 +7.4 -4.9
  Mar 14, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 71-74 OT 39%     17 - 12 +7.3 +4.7 +2.6
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%