Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#76
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#94
Pace69.7#134
Improvement-0.5#211

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#96
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#162
Layup/Dunks+0.7#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#125
Freethrows+1.1#92
Improvement-1.6#266

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#68
First Shot+1.1#138
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#10
Layups/Dunks+3.6#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#352
Freethrows+1.9#52
Improvement+1.1#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 25 - 57 - 14
Quad 34 - 311 - 17
Quad 44 - 115 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 62   Kansas St. W 82-69 43%     1 - 0 +22.0 +9.1 +11.8
  Nov 09, 2023 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 85-59 89%     2 - 0 +20.1 +12.2 +8.3
  Nov 14, 2023 77   UC Irvine L 60-70 61%     2 - 1 -5.5 -9.5 +4.0
  Nov 19, 2023 188   Brown W 81-70 85%     3 - 1 +7.2 +7.6 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 71-63 42%     4 - 1 +17.4 +1.7 +15.6
  Nov 24, 2023 37   Oklahoma L 70-72 34%     4 - 2 +9.5 +5.0 +4.3
  Nov 29, 2023 152   Eastern Washington W 106-78 80%     5 - 2 +26.3 +23.9 +1.2
  Dec 02, 2023 15   Gonzaga L 76-89 22%     5 - 3 +2.3 +8.1 -5.9
  Dec 10, 2023 160   Long Beach St. L 79-84 OT 82%     5 - 4 -7.3 -8.5 +1.9
  Dec 17, 2023 3   @ Auburn L 75-91 7%     5 - 5 +7.6 +9.6 -1.2
  Dec 19, 2023 323   @ Alabama St. W 79-59 91%     6 - 5 +12.6 +4.7 +7.2
  Dec 28, 2023 54   @ Oregon L 74-82 31%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +4.3 +6.3 -1.9
  Dec 30, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 70-86 60%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -11.5 -2.1 -9.1
  Jan 03, 2024 113   California W 82-74 72%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +9.0 +8.2 +0.7
  Jan 06, 2024 98   Stanford W 93-79 67%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +16.8 +18.2 -1.8
  Jan 10, 2024 39   Washington St. L 64-72 44%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +0.8 -2.9 +3.5
  Jan 13, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 58-68 22%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +5.4 -6.1 +11.1
  Jan 17, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 67-82 9%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +7.1 -0.5 +8.6
  Jan 20, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. L 67-82 56%     8 - 11 2 - 6 -9.2 -3.4 -5.2
  Jan 27, 2024 93   UCLA L 50-65 64%     8 - 12 2 - 7 -11.4 -10.4 -3.7
  Feb 01, 2024 54   Oregon L 69-78 50%     8 - 13 2 - 8 -1.9 +2.0 -4.3
  Feb 03, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 82-54 77%     9 - 13 3 - 8 +27.3 +19.2 +11.7
  Feb 07, 2024 113   @ California L 77-83 OT 54%     9 - 14 3 - 9 +0.2 +2.6 -2.0
  Feb 10, 2024 98   @ Stanford L 68-99 47%     9 - 15 3 - 10 -23.0 -4.6 -17.0
  Feb 15, 2024 47   Utah W 68-64 47%     10 - 15 4 - 10 +12.1 -2.0 +14.0
  Feb 17, 2024 29   Colorado L 89-92 2OT 39%     10 - 16 4 - 11 +7.2 +8.3 -0.7
  Feb 24, 2024 93   @ UCLA W 62-56 44%     11 - 16 5 - 11 +14.8 -0.9 +16.0
  Feb 29, 2024 39   @ Washington St. L 72-75 26%     11 - 17 5 - 12 +11.0 +9.9 +0.9
  Mar 02, 2024 65   @ Washington W 82-75 35%     12 - 17 6 - 12 +18.4 +14.8 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2024 118   Arizona St. W 81-73 74%     13 - 17 7 - 12 +8.6 +16.3 -7.2
  Mar 09, 2024 5   Arizona W 78-65 18%     14 - 17 8 - 12 +29.9 +8.9 +20.4
  Mar 13, 2024 65   Washington W 80-74 44%     15 - 17 +14.8 +8.7 +5.9
  Mar 14, 2024 5   Arizona L 49-70 13%     15 - 18 -1.5 -13.1 +10.5
Projected Record 15 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%