Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#66
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#34
Pace55.1#362
Improvement-3.4#314

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#197
First Shot+1.7#134
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#310
Layup/Dunks+1.7#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows-1.6#290
Improvement-1.6#268

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#8
First Shot+6.9#15
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#42
Layups/Dunks+3.2#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#314
Freethrows+3.8#13
Improvement-1.8#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four31.1% n/a n/a
First Round25.8% n/a n/a
Second Round9.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 28 - 410 - 10
Quad 37 - 017 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 134   Tarleton St. W 80-50 80%     1 - 0 +29.7 +11.7 +20.1
  Nov 10, 2023 22   Florida W 73-70 31%     2 - 0 +16.4 +7.5 +9.0
  Nov 14, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 80-51 98%     3 - 0 +13.0 +9.2 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 62-33 94%     4 - 0 +20.3 -1.1 +27.0
  Nov 20, 2023 19   Wisconsin L 41-65 29%     4 - 1 -10.0 -15.5 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2023 129   West Virginia W 56-54 71%     5 - 1 +4.5 -9.1 +13.9
  Nov 29, 2023 42   Texas A&M W 59-47 49%     6 - 1 +20.7 +0.0 +22.8
  Dec 02, 2023 85   Syracuse W 84-62 66%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +26.1 +18.6 +8.9
  Dec 05, 2023 260   NC Central W 77-47 92%     8 - 1 +22.3 +8.1 +17.8
  Dec 16, 2023 250   Northeastern W 56-54 92%     9 - 1 -5.1 -13.7 +8.9
  Dec 19, 2023 70   @ Memphis L 54-77 43%     9 - 2 -12.8 -14.1 +1.0
  Dec 27, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 79-44 97%     10 - 2 +20.9 +11.4 +14.9
  Dec 30, 2023 110   @ Notre Dame L 54-76 57%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -15.5 -6.7 -10.9
  Jan 03, 2024 179   Louisville W 77-53 86%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +20.5 +20.6 +5.6
  Jan 06, 2024 56   @ North Carolina St. L 60-76 36%     11 - 4 2 - 2 -3.8 -1.7 -4.0
  Jan 13, 2024 32   @ Wake Forest L 47-66 26%     11 - 5 2 - 3 -4.0 -16.2 +10.7
  Jan 17, 2024 61   Virginia Tech W 65-57 58%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +14.4 -2.5 +17.5
  Jan 20, 2024 115   @ Georgia Tech W 75-66 59%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +14.9 +12.6 +3.3
  Jan 24, 2024 56   North Carolina St. W 59-53 OT 56%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +13.0 -9.4 +22.6
  Jan 27, 2024 179   @ Louisville W 69-52 74%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +18.7 +3.1 +17.1
  Jan 31, 2024 110   Notre Dame W 65-53 75%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +13.3 +12.9 +3.5
  Feb 03, 2024 36   @ Clemson W 66-65 28%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +15.3 +14.3 +1.3
  Feb 05, 2024 94   Miami (FL) W 60-38 68%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +25.5 +2.0 +28.5
  Feb 10, 2024 79   @ Florida St. W 80-76 45%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +13.6 +21.7 -7.6
  Feb 13, 2024 33   Pittsburgh L 63-74 47%     19 - 6 10 - 4 -1.8 +5.1 -8.9
  Feb 17, 2024 32   Wake Forest W 49-47 45%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +11.8 -10.8 +23.0
  Feb 19, 2024 61   @ Virginia Tech L 41-75 38%     20 - 7 11 - 5 -22.4 -23.1 -3.9
  Feb 24, 2024 8   North Carolina L 44-54 26%     20 - 8 11 - 6 +5.0 -13.4 +16.8
  Feb 28, 2024 74   @ Boston College W 72-68 44%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +13.9 +10.5 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2024 9   @ Duke L 48-73 15%     21 - 9 12 - 7 -5.3 -12.1 +4.2
  Mar 09, 2024 115   Georgia Tech W 72-57 77%     22 - 9 13 - 7 +15.7 +10.1 +8.0
  Mar 14, 2024 74   Boston College W 66-60 OT 54%     23 - 9 +13.3 +3.5 +10.5
  Mar 15, 2024 56   North Carolina St. L 65-73 OT 45%     23 - 10 +1.6 -1.0 +2.1
  Mar 19, 2024 48   Colorado St. L 59-61 41%    
Projected Record 23 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 45.1% 45.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.0 18.5 20.6 0.0 54.9 45.1%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 45.1% 0.0% 45.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.0 18.5 20.6 0.0 54.9 45.1%