Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#81
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#95
Pace64.1#305
Improvement-0.6#212

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#114
First Shot+3.7#76
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks+2.6#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows+1.2#83
Improvement-0.4#206

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#49
First Shot+3.0#77
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#59
Layups/Dunks-1.7#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#3
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#117
Freethrows-0.9#250
Improvement-0.1#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 27 - 48 - 8
Quad 37 - 315 - 11
Quad 47 - 222 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 75   McNeese St. L 65-76 58%     0 - 1 -6.3 -1.1 -6.1
  Nov 10, 2023 90   Samford W 75-65 62%     1 - 1 +13.8 +1.0 +12.6
  Nov 15, 2023 238   Radford W 73-50 89%     2 - 1 +16.6 -1.2 +19.1
  Nov 18, 2023 119   Seattle W 60-56 73%     3 - 1 +4.5 -5.6 +10.5
  Nov 23, 2023 7   Iowa St. L 64-68 15%     3 - 2 +14.2 +11.0 +2.8
  Nov 24, 2023 45   Boise St. L 61-65 35%     3 - 3 +6.8 -0.4 +6.9
  Nov 26, 2023 68   Penn St. W 86-74 46%     4 - 3 +19.8 +13.6 +5.7
  Dec 01, 2023 245   Norfolk St. L 60-63 89%     4 - 4 -9.7 -9.2 -0.9
  Dec 06, 2023 70   Memphis L 80-85 OT 57%     4 - 5 +0.1 +3.3 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 86-58 94%     5 - 5 +17.5 +9.3 +9.8
  Dec 16, 2023 178   Temple W 87-78 83%     6 - 5 +5.5 +14.1 -8.6
  Dec 22, 2023 346   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-51 97%     7 - 5 +8.0 +5.5 +4.6
  Dec 30, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb W 87-73 87%     8 - 5 +8.7 +8.2 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2024 102   St. Bonaventure L 78-89 66%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -8.5 +6.2 -14.8
  Jan 06, 2024 203   George Washington L 82-84 86%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -6.8 +5.3 -12.1
  Jan 09, 2024 101   @ George Mason W 54-50 47%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +11.7 -4.9 +17.3
  Jan 13, 2024 192   @ La Salle W 71-65 71%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +7.0 -0.6 +7.7
  Jan 19, 2024 191   Saint Louis W 85-61 85%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +19.9 +6.3 +13.8
  Jan 23, 2024 92   Loyola Chicago W 74-67 62%     12 - 7 4 - 2 +10.7 +10.4 +0.6
  Jan 27, 2024 126   @ Davidson W 63-58 56%     13 - 7 5 - 2 +10.2 +5.8 +5.2
  Jan 30, 2024 102   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-67 47%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +2.7 -3.0 +5.2
  Feb 03, 2024 88   Richmond W 63-52 61%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +14.9 -1.8 +17.3
  Feb 06, 2024 185   @ Fordham W 75-60 70%     15 - 8 7 - 3 +16.5 +8.2 +8.9
  Feb 09, 2024 44   Dayton W 49-47 44%     16 - 8 8 - 3 +10.3 -14.7 +25.3
  Feb 16, 2024 191   @ Saint Louis W 95-85 71%     17 - 8 9 - 3 +11.1 +14.7 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2024 97   @ Massachusetts L 52-74 44%     17 - 9 9 - 4 -13.6 -13.1 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2024 105   Saint Joseph's W 73-69 67%     18 - 9 10 - 4 +6.2 +6.7 -0.2
  Feb 28, 2024 210   Rhode Island W 88-67 87%     19 - 9 11 - 4 +15.8 +11.4 +4.5
  Mar 02, 2024 88   @ Richmond L 76-79 41%     19 - 10 11 - 5 +6.1 +11.4 -5.4
  Mar 05, 2024 91   Duquesne L 59-69 62%     19 - 11 11 - 6 -6.3 -2.8 -4.6
  Mar 08, 2024 44   @ Dayton L 86-91 OT 26%     19 - 12 11 - 7 +8.5 +10.2 -1.3
  Mar 13, 2024 185   Fordham W 69-62 77%     20 - 12 +5.9 +6.3 +0.5
  Mar 14, 2024 97   Massachusetts W 73-59 54%     21 - 12 +19.8 +13.6 +8.4
  Mar 16, 2024 105   Saint Joseph's W 66-60 58%     22 - 12 +10.8 +2.1 +9.4
  Mar 17, 2024 91   Duquesne L 51-57 52%     22 - 13 +0.3 -9.1 +8.6
Projected Record 22 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%