Pre-tourney Rankings
Washington St.
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#39
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#28
Pace63.4#315
Improvement+0.6#146

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#65
First Shot+2.2#119
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#31
Layup/Dunks+7.5#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement-0.9#238

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#25
First Shot+4.8#35
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#51
Layups/Dunks+3.2#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#13
Freethrows-2.3#314
Improvement+1.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 24.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 90.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 90.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round90.0% n/a n/a
Second Round45.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 13 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 4
Quad 23 - 49 - 8
Quad 37 - 116 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 320   Idaho W 84-59 97%     1 - 0 +13.1 +9.1 +5.0
  Nov 10, 2023 342   Prairie View W 83-65 99%     2 - 0 +2.3 +2.5 -0.6
  Nov 18, 2023 30   Mississippi St. L 64-76 44%     2 - 1 +0.8 -1.5 +2.3
  Nov 19, 2023 210   Rhode Island W 78-57 90%     3 - 1 +18.4 +8.2 +11.8
  Nov 24, 2023 283   Utah Tech W 93-53 96%     4 - 1 +31.1 +20.2 +11.9
  Nov 27, 2023 152   Eastern Washington W 82-72 88%     5 - 1 +8.3 +9.2 -0.4
  Dec 02, 2023 253   Portland St. W 71-61 95%     6 - 1 +2.6 -2.6 +5.2
  Dec 06, 2023 202   UC Riverside W 86-49 93%     7 - 1 +32.2 +16.1 +18.5
  Dec 10, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 83-65 96%     8 - 1 +9.2 +12.7 -2.4
  Dec 16, 2023 107   Santa Clara L 61-69 74%     8 - 2 -3.4 -8.0 +4.4
  Dec 21, 2023 45   Boise St. W 66-61 52%     9 - 2 +15.8 -1.4 +17.3
  Dec 29, 2023 47   @ Utah L 58-80 42%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -8.7 -5.6 -4.1
  Dec 31, 2023 29   @ Colorado L 67-74 35%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +8.4 +2.3 +5.9
  Jan 04, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 65-58 87%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +6.3 -0.1 +7.3
  Jan 06, 2024 54   Oregon L 84-89 66%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +2.1 +17.3 -15.4
  Jan 10, 2024 76   @ USC W 72-64 56%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +17.8 +5.4 +12.6
  Jan 13, 2024 5   Arizona W 73-70 30%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +19.9 +8.3 +11.7
  Jan 18, 2024 98   @ Stanford W 89-75 63%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +22.0 +15.1 +6.2
  Jan 20, 2024 113   @ California L 75-81 OT 69%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +0.2 +2.2 -1.8
  Jan 24, 2024 47   Utah W 79-57 62%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +30.1 +18.5 +13.9
  Jan 27, 2024 29   Colorado W 78-69 54%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +19.2 +13.3 +6.4
  Feb 03, 2024 65   @ Washington W 90-87 OT 50%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +14.4 +19.3 -5.0
  Feb 08, 2024 137   @ Oregon St. W 64-58 74%     17 - 6 8 - 4 +10.5 +0.2 +11.0
  Feb 10, 2024 54   @ Oregon W 62-56 46%     18 - 6 9 - 4 +18.3 +0.7 +18.2
  Feb 15, 2024 113   California W 84-65 83%     19 - 6 10 - 4 +20.0 +14.7 +6.0
  Feb 17, 2024 98   Stanford W 72-59 79%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +15.8 +10.3 +7.4
  Feb 22, 2024 5   @ Arizona W 77-74 16%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +25.1 +12.6 +12.4
  Feb 24, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. L 61-73 70%     21 - 7 12 - 5 -6.2 -0.1 -7.4
  Feb 29, 2024 76   USC W 75-72 74%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +7.7 +8.0 -0.2
  Mar 02, 2024 93   UCLA W 77-65 77%     23 - 7 14 - 5 +15.6 +19.2 -1.8
  Mar 07, 2024 65   Washington L 68-74 69%     23 - 8 14 - 6 +0.2 -5.4 +5.7
  Mar 14, 2024 98   Stanford W 79-62 72%     24 - 8 +22.4 +10.9 +12.0
  Mar 15, 2024 29   Colorado L 52-58 44%     24 - 9 +6.8 -7.9 +13.8
  Mar 21, 2024 53   Drake W 71-70 55%    
Projected Record 25 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 90.0% 90.0% 7.0 0.0 4.5 20.2 38.7 21.9 4.4 0.3 10.0 90.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 90.0% 0.0% 90.0% 7.0 0.0 4.5 20.2 38.7 21.9 4.4 0.3 10.0 90.0%