Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
106 Akron 100.0%   13   26 - 6 17 - 1 26 - 6 17 - 1 +4.1      +4.5 69 -0.5 186 76.2 19 +6.2 84 +11.1 1
140 Kent St. 0.0%   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +1.2      -0.6 198 +1.9 117 65.4 256 +1.2 145 -1.9 3
153 Miami (OH) 0.0%   23 - 9 14 - 4 23 - 9 14 - 4 +0.4      +0.6 156 -0.1 176 71.0 94 +2.5 129 +2.5 2
190 Ohio 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -1.8      -0.3 187 -1.5 219 74.3 46 -3.5 223 -2.5 4
217 Central Michigan 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 11 10 - 17 7 - 11 -3.1      -1.5 215 -1.7 224 67.3 205 -6.4 273 -8.5 10
247 Toledo 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 -4.6      +3.6 85 -8.1 356 70.2 117 -1.2 178 -3.0 5
269 Ball St. 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 11 11 - 17 7 - 11 -6.2      -2.0 220 -4.2 302 66.5 222 -7.8 292 -8.0 9
275 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   15 - 16 9 - 9 15 - 16 9 - 9 -6.4      -1.4 211 -5.0 315 68.9 152 -3.8 229 -4.1 6
292 Bowling Green 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 10 12 - 18 8 - 10 -7.7      -5.7 318 -1.9 228 70.8 100 -7.6 287 -6.8 8
293 Western Michigan 0.0%   11 - 20 9 - 9 11 - 20 9 - 9 -7.7      -3.8 274 -3.9 290 69.2 141 -7.5 285 -4.7 7
346 Buffalo 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 7 - 22 4 - 14 -12.4      -7.7 343 -4.7 312 74.5 38 -10.3 323 -11.4 11
347 Northern Illinois 0.0%   3 - 25 2 - 16 3 - 25 2 - 16 -12.6      -8.4 350 -4.2 300 71.2 90 -16.3 355 -16.8 12






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 1.0 100.0
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 2.0 100.0
Ohio 4.0 100.0
Central Michigan 9.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Ball St. 9.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 6.0 100.0
Bowling Green 8.0 100.0
Western Michigan 6.0 100.0
Buffalo 11.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 17 - 1 100.0
Kent St. 11 - 7 100.0
Miami (OH) 14 - 4 100.0
Ohio 10 - 8 100.0
Central Michigan 7 - 11 100.0
Toledo 10 - 8 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Bowling Green 8 - 10 100.0
Western Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Buffalo 4 - 14 100.0
Northern Illinois 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Kent St.
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Central Michigan
Toledo
Ball St.
Eastern Michigan
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
Buffalo
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   4.5 55.6 39.5 0.4
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Akron 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0