Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#346
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Pace74.5#38
Improvement-0.7#228

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#343
First Shot-3.8#280
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#350
Layup/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#227
Freethrows-1.6#281
Improvement-1.6#262

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#312
First Shot-5.0#325
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks-0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#356
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement+0.9#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 90 - 14
Quad 47 - 87 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 278   @ Old Dominion W 83-82 21%     1 - 0 -2.9 +5.2 -8.2
  Nov 11, 2024 95   @ Notre Dame L 77-86 4%     1 - 1 -1.0 +0.2 -0.4
  Nov 14, 2024 144   Bryant L 64-87 16%     1 - 2 -24.8 -15.6 -6.9
  Nov 19, 2024 231   @ Vermont L 67-78 14%     1 - 3 -12.1 +1.8 -14.8
  Nov 22, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 82-73 54%     2 - 3 -4.5 +2.2 -6.6
  Nov 25, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 82-81 54%     3 - 3 -12.4 -6.0 -6.6
  Dec 01, 2024 58   @ Penn St. L 64-87 2%     3 - 4 -10.3 -3.0 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2024 112   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-65 5%     3 - 5 -3.6 -7.1 +2.5
  Dec 19, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 49-100 1%     3 - 6 -34.3 -14.2 -20.6
  Dec 29, 2024 162   @ Temple L 71-91 9%     3 - 7 -17.5 -11.7 -3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 79-93 8%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.8 +6.2 -16.8
  Jan 07, 2025 190   Ohio L 79-88 23%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -13.5 -5.8 -6.6
  Jan 10, 2025 140   Kent St. L 49-68 15%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -20.5 -21.6 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2025 292   @ Bowling Green L 61-79 24%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -22.9 -12.0 -11.1
  Jan 18, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan W 85-76 24%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +4.1 -1.8 +4.7
  Jan 21, 2025 106   Akron L 58-90 10%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -30.7 -22.1 -5.6
  Jan 25, 2025 275   @ Eastern Michigan L 77-90 20%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -16.6 -0.5 -15.9
  Jan 28, 2025 217   Central Michigan W 75-69 26%     5 - 13 2 - 6 +0.1 -4.4 +4.2
  Feb 01, 2025 269   Ball St. L 76-89 37%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -21.9 -3.8 -17.9
  Feb 04, 2025 247   @ Toledo L 74-87 16%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -14.8 -6.7 -7.9
  Feb 08, 2025 257   Georgia St. L 75-80 33%     5 - 16 -12.8 -14.5 +2.4
  Feb 11, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 73-67 40%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -3.9 -1.4 -2.4
  Feb 15, 2025 292   Bowling Green L 59-63 42%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -14.4 -15.4 +0.8
  Feb 18, 2025 293   Western Michigan L 64-97 42%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -43.4 -15.0 -28.0
  Feb 22, 2025 269   @ Ball St. L 66-80 20%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -17.4 -11.6 -5.3
  Feb 25, 2025 217   @ Central Michigan L 69-73 13%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -4.4 -3.0 -1.4
  Mar 01, 2025 247   Toledo W 87-74 31%     7 - 20 4 - 12 +5.7 +9.6 -3.2
  Mar 04, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 69-84 17%     7 - 21 4 - 13 -17.3 -5.5 -11.8
  Mar 07, 2025 106   @ Akron L 70-88 5%     7 - 22 4 - 14 -11.2 -1.4 -9.9
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%