Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#265
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#263
Pace75.5#27
Improvement-1.8#263

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#313
First Shot-4.0#289
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#265
Layup/Dunks+1.0#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#247
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-4.7#351

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#179
First Shot-0.6#200
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#142
Layups/Dunks+0.5#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#180
Freethrows-0.7#239
Improvement+3.0#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 70 - 7
Quad 33 - 103 - 17
Quad 49 - 212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 110   @ DePaul L 64-95 13%     0 - 1 -24.5 -11.4 -10.4
  Nov 16, 2024 132   @ South Alabama L 66-75 17%     0 - 2 -4.4 -2.6 -2.0
  Nov 21, 2024 70   @ South Carolina L 72-84 7%     0 - 3 -1.1 +7.4 -8.8
  Nov 25, 2024 195   Jacksonville W 90-89 OT 36%     1 - 3 -1.0 +8.9 -9.9
  Nov 26, 2024 153   Miami (OH) L 72-75 28%     1 - 4 -2.6 -5.1 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2024 348   West Georgia W 86-72 82%     2 - 4 -1.4 +11.4 -12.0
  Dec 08, 2024 350   @ Stetson W 89-83 OT 68%     3 - 4 -4.4 -1.4 -3.7
  Dec 15, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 75-63 90%     4 - 4 -7.7 -5.8 -1.9
  Dec 18, 2024 204   @ Queens L 66-73 29%     4 - 5 -6.8 -14.1 +7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 161   @ Winthrop L 97-102 21%     4 - 6 -2.3 +5.7 -7.1
  Dec 28, 2024 257   @ Georgia St. W 71-68 37%     5 - 6 +0.7 -6.4 +7.1
  Jan 01, 2025 116   Chattanooga W 99-94 OT 28%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +5.2 +5.2 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 297   @ VMI W 70-67 48%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -2.1 -9.6 +7.3
  Jan 08, 2025 156   East Tennessee St. L 68-70 37%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -4.4 -2.7 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina L 82-85 63%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -12.0 -0.3 -11.5
  Jan 15, 2025 124   Samford L 74-75 31%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -1.4 -4.3 +2.9
  Jan 18, 2025 130   @ Wofford L 49-69 17%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -15.3 -20.7 +3.8
  Jan 22, 2025 159   @ UNC Greensboro W 79-78 21%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +4.0 +4.4 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 139   Furman L 74-79 34%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -6.5 +3.0 -9.8
  Jan 29, 2025 357   The Citadel W 80-46 87%     9 - 11 4 - 5 +16.3 +0.0 +16.7
  Feb 01, 2025 116   @ Chattanooga L 84-93 14%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -3.3 +3.7 -6.3
  Feb 05, 2025 124   @ Samford L 79-100 16%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -15.9 -2.0 -11.6
  Feb 08, 2025 130   Wofford L 66-77 32%     9 - 14 4 - 8 -11.8 -12.3 +0.8
  Feb 12, 2025 139   @ Furman L 72-96 18%     9 - 15 4 - 9 -20.0 +0.2 -20.3
  Feb 15, 2025 297   VMI L 71-80 68%     9 - 16 4 - 10 -19.6 -5.9 -13.8
  Feb 19, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 62-52 73%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -2.2 -14.0 +12.1
  Feb 22, 2025 159   UNC Greensboro L 61-78 38%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -19.5 -9.4 -11.1
  Feb 26, 2025 156   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-59 20%     10 - 18 5 - 12 +2.1 -11.3 +13.4
  Mar 01, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 81-69 80%     11 - 18 6 - 12 -2.5 +0.3 -3.1
  Mar 07, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 67-66 72%     12 - 18 -10.8 -8.4 -2.4
  Mar 08, 2025 116   Chattanooga L 61-76 21%     12 - 19 -12.0 -14.7 +2.7
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%