Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#195
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#169
Pace68.3#173
Improvement-1.9#266

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#278
First Shot-5.7#320
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#80
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows-2.8#328
Improvement-0.4#209

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#115
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#89
Layups/Dunks-1.8#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#78
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement-1.5#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 35 - 25 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 2   @ Florida L 60-81 1%     0 - 1 +7.0 +0.9 +5.2
  Nov 11, 2024 139   @ Furman L 69-78 28%     0 - 2 -5.0 -6.5 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2024 187   South Carolina St. W 71-62 60%     1 - 2 +4.6 -3.3 +7.7
  Nov 20, 2024 136   @ Virginia Tech W 74-64 28%     2 - 2 +14.2 +4.4 +9.9
  Nov 25, 2024 265   Mercer L 89-90 OT 64%     2 - 3 -6.7 +5.9 -12.4
  Nov 26, 2024 256   Siena W 75-64 62%     3 - 3 +6.0 +1.0 +5.1
  Nov 30, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 56-102 5%     3 - 4 -29.3 -7.7 -21.6
  Dec 10, 2024 114   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-85 22%     3 - 5 -15.9 -13.7 -0.6
  Dec 14, 2024 156   East Tennessee St. W 60-52 52%     4 - 5 +5.6 -12.1 +17.9
  Dec 21, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 66-86 12%     4 - 6 -9.1 -5.4 -3.2
  Jan 02, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 65-70 34%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -2.7 +1.0 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 277   Austin Peay W 68-44 76%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +14.6 -7.9 +23.1
  Jan 09, 2025 341   @ Bellarmine W 74-59 76%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +5.6 +4.0 +3.9
  Jan 11, 2025 194   @ Eastern Kentucky W 82-75 39%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +7.8 +5.3 +2.3
  Jan 16, 2025 121   North Alabama W 64-60 44%     8 - 7 4 - 1 +3.7 -10.7 +14.4
  Jan 18, 2025 343   Central Arkansas W 72-62 89%     9 - 7 5 - 1 -5.1 -0.5 -3.5
  Jan 23, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 79-62 78%     10 - 7 6 - 1 +7.1 +4.9 +2.8
  Jan 25, 2025 204   @ Queens W 87-77 42%     11 - 7 7 - 1 +10.2 +7.2 +2.4
  Jan 29, 2025 184   Florida Gulf Coast L 79-83 59%     11 - 8 7 - 2 -8.2 +6.4 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2025 276   North Florida L 78-81 76%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -12.2 -9.1 -2.8
  Feb 06, 2025 350   @ Stetson W 74-65 79%     12 - 9 8 - 3 -1.4 -5.7 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2025 341   Bellarmine W 73-64 88%     13 - 9 9 - 3 -5.9 -4.0 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2025 343   @ Central Arkansas W 77-62 77%     14 - 9 10 - 3 +5.4 +3.9 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 79-92 25%     14 - 10 10 - 4 -7.8 +9.9 -18.3
  Feb 18, 2025 184   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-72 38%     14 - 11 10 - 5 -14.7 -8.5 -8.7
  Feb 20, 2025 276   @ North Florida L 73-77 57%     14 - 12 10 - 6 -7.7 -9.2 +1.7
  Feb 24, 2025 194   Eastern Kentucky W 59-55 61%     15 - 12 11 - 6 -0.7 -15.4 +15.0
  Feb 26, 2025 350   Stetson W 79-72 90%     16 - 12 12 - 6 -8.9 -6.0 -3.1
  Mar 03, 2025 194   Eastern Kentucky W 78-67 61%     17 - 12 +6.3 +11.6 -3.7
  Mar 06, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 63-78 25%     17 - 13 -9.8 -3.3 -7.9
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%