Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#276
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Pace78.5#10
Improvement-7.2#359

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#144
First Shot+1.1#132
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#193
Layup/Dunks-0.5#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#12
Freethrows-3.1#345
Improvement-5.9#357

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#352
First Shot-6.4#343
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#279
Layups/Dunks-8.2#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows-0.5#222
Improvement-1.2#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 12 - 4
Quad 34 - 56 - 9
Quad 47 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ South Carolina W 74-71 6%     1 - 0 +13.9 +8.9 +5.0
  Nov 07, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 90-66 68%     2 - 0 +12.7 +5.9 +5.1
  Nov 10, 2024 91   @ Georgia Tech W 105-93 9%     3 - 0 +20.5 +23.3 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 77-90 3%     3 - 1 +3.7 +15.0 -11.5
  Nov 18, 2024 201   UNC Asheville L 75-89 45%     3 - 2 -19.2 -0.1 -19.6
  Nov 29, 2024 232   @ SIU Edwardsville W 78-73 30%     4 - 2 +3.9 +4.7 -0.9
  Dec 01, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 72-103 5%     4 - 3 -18.2 -0.6 -14.8
  Dec 07, 2024 255   @ Georgia Southern L 91-93 OT 34%     4 - 4 -4.2 +2.3 -6.1
  Dec 14, 2024 159   UNC Greensboro W 89-77 35%     5 - 4 +9.5 +13.4 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2024 201   @ UNC Asheville L 81-95 26%     5 - 5 -13.7 +1.8 -14.8
  Dec 21, 2024 2   @ Florida L 45-99 0.5%    5 - 6 -26.0 -19.2 -3.8
  Jan 02, 2025 277   Austin Peay L 89-97 61%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -17.4 +6.5 -23.5
  Jan 04, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 64-96 20%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -29.7 -13.5 -13.8
  Jan 09, 2025 194   @ Eastern Kentucky L 74-79 24%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -4.2 -2.8 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 341   @ Bellarmine W 98-83 61%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +5.6 +21.3 -14.9
  Jan 16, 2025 343   Central Arkansas W 92-80 79%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -3.1 +11.7 -14.8
  Jan 18, 2025 121   North Alabama L 84-90 28%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -6.3 +9.6 -16.0
  Jan 23, 2025 204   @ Queens W 90-81 26%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +9.2 +9.5 -1.0
  Jan 25, 2025 348   @ West Georgia L 72-92 63%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -29.9 -9.1 -19.8
  Jan 29, 2025 350   Stetson W 101-100 OT 81%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -14.9 -0.9 -14.1
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Jacksonville W 81-78 24%     10 - 11 5 - 5 +3.8 +5.8 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2025 341   Bellarmine W 95-88 79%     11 - 11 6 - 5 -7.9 +2.9 -11.3
  Feb 08, 2025 184   Florida Gulf Coast L 70-84 41%     11 - 12 6 - 6 -18.2 -6.7 -11.3
  Feb 13, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 70-83 14%     11 - 13 6 - 7 -7.8 -0.4 -7.7
  Feb 15, 2025 343   @ Central Arkansas L 83-84 OT 62%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -10.6 +0.2 -10.7
  Feb 18, 2025 350   @ Stetson W 79-71 65%     12 - 14 7 - 8 -2.4 -2.9 +0.3
  Feb 20, 2025 195   Jacksonville W 77-73 43%     13 - 14 8 - 8 -0.7 +1.2 -2.1
  Feb 24, 2025 184   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 82-86 23%     13 - 15 8 - 9 -2.7 -0.2 -2.0
  Feb 26, 2025 194   Eastern Kentucky L 81-86 43%     13 - 16 8 - 10 -9.7 +7.6 -17.6
  Mar 02, 2025 277   Austin Peay L 69-90 51%     13 - 17 -27.6 -8.8 -18.3
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%