Pre-tourney Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#117
Pace66.0#233
Improvement+0.2#184

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot+2.9#97
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#135
Layup/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#136
Freethrows-1.5#278
Improvement+3.3#42

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#127
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#117
Layups/Dunks+1.5#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#138
Freethrows+3.4#10
Improvement-3.1#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 37 - 7
Quad 416 - 223 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 127   @ Duquesne W 77-72 51%     1 - 0 +9.9 +2.6 +7.0
  Nov 06, 2024 38   @ Arkansas L 60-76 16%     1 - 1 -0.2 -6.7 +7.4
  Nov 09, 2024 130   Wofford W 78-69 71%     2 - 1 +8.2 +12.2 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 128   Belmont L 79-80 71%     2 - 2 -1.8 +4.2 -6.0
  Nov 17, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky L 61-66 59%     2 - 3 -2.2 -12.2 +10.3
  Nov 19, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 68-97 9%     2 - 4 -9.4 +0.4 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2024 260   Jackson St. W 77-53 89%     3 - 4 +15.9 +2.9 +13.3
  Nov 30, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M W 82-44 95%     4 - 4 +24.7 +1.4 +21.6
  Dec 03, 2024 116   @ Chattanooga W 80-62 47%     5 - 4 +23.7 +9.3 +15.2
  Dec 05, 2024 210   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-60 84%     6 - 4 +12.5 +5.6 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2024 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-67 47%     6 - 5 +3.7 -0.1 +3.7
  Jan 02, 2025 195   @ Jacksonville W 70-65 66%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +5.8 +9.8 -3.4
  Jan 04, 2025 276   @ North Florida W 96-64 80%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +28.3 +9.9 +16.0
  Jan 09, 2025 204   Queens L 73-75 83%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -7.3 +4.0 -11.6
  Jan 11, 2025 348   West Georgia W 86-67 96%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +3.6 +9.7 -5.3
  Jan 16, 2025 341   @ Bellarmine W 87-53 90%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +24.6 +11.0 +15.7
  Jan 18, 2025 277   Austin Peay W 88-60 90%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +18.6 +15.3 +4.9
  Jan 23, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 64-74 50%     11 - 7 5 - 2 -4.8 +1.8 -8.2
  Jan 25, 2025 343   @ Central Arkansas W 68-55 91%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +3.4 -3.5 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2025 194   Eastern Kentucky L 71-80 82%     12 - 8 6 - 3 -13.7 -5.9 -7.9
  Feb 01, 2025 341   Bellarmine W 87-80 96%     13 - 8 7 - 3 -7.9 +6.2 -13.8
  Feb 05, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 76-67 91%     14 - 8 8 - 3 -0.9 +0.4 -1.1
  Feb 08, 2025 204   @ Queens W 94-81 68%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +13.2 +20.1 -6.9
  Feb 13, 2025 350   Stetson W 93-60 96%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +17.1 +14.5 +4.0
  Feb 15, 2025 184   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-68 81%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +9.8 +9.6 +0.9
  Feb 18, 2025 194   @ Eastern Kentucky L 57-66 66%     17 - 9 11 - 4 -8.2 -15.5 +6.9
  Feb 20, 2025 121   North Alabama W 75-63 70%     18 - 9 12 - 4 +11.7 +9.3 +3.8
  Feb 24, 2025 277   @ Austin Peay W 95-78 80%     19 - 9 13 - 4 +13.1 +38.7 -22.3
  Feb 26, 2025 343   Central Arkansas W 78-60 96%     20 - 9 14 - 4 +2.9 +1.4 +2.3
  Mar 03, 2025 343   Central Arkansas W 84-66 96%     21 - 9 +2.9 +6.9 -3.3
  Mar 06, 2025 204   Queens W 81-75 OT 83%     22 - 9 +0.7 +7.1 -6.2
  Mar 09, 2025 121   North Alabama W 76-65 70%     23 - 9 +10.7 +6.0 +5.3
Projected Record 23 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.6 2.0 41.7 54.8 1.5
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.6 2.0 41.7 54.8 1.5